Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27613913f043901fc108b6087b0eebeca0a569d3f7080e7f499757d0140f02f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28b9…396abacked No | 0c | 99,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 63c | 7,059$4,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.34 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 2c | 2,944$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 33c | 1,452$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.17 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 62c | 991.09$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.99 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 26c | 931.1$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 58c | 821$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.18 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…c814backed No | 15c | 237$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…36afbacked Yes | 47c | 231$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…8795backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 19c | 198.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 72c | 176.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 14c | 176.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 7c | 163.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 58c | 106$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…2f49backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 24c | 92.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 37c | 86.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 45c | 80.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…c199backed No | 46c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…17a6backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…a35ebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +42%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 4 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of May 4 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.