TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f45…a77abacked No52c11,261$5,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,442.037244.4%32 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1bf…11d7backed Yes48c9,122$4,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,378.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes2c5,405$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.794240.2%379 W · 563 L-69.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes23c4,040$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.8329436.1%106 W · 188 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes5c2,981$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3321011.9%25 W · 185 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd36b…3d32backed Yes29c1,750$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.391827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28b9…396abacked Yes29c1,042$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf422…078fbacked Yes7c1,034$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f05…8b8bbacked No73c965.25$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.312458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes50c958.53$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.278051.3%41 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc12a…dc73backed No67c869.92$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.692171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa204…bf99backed Yes24c811.9$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.513815.8%6 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes2c599.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4911.1%1 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0605…1593backed Yes31c598.48$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.27911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-79.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed No52c573.93$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.493545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06dc…ba00backed Yes18c570.35$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d16…7228backed No58c546.91$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.632864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24511133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4f8…7333backed Yes49c480.34$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes20c460.93$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1930839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes7c456.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6419923.1%46 W · 153 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc11…3636backed Yes27c399.82$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes20c396.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6539034.4%134 W · 256 L-33.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Yes18c375.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3917752%92 W · 85 L+20.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05ba…3e90backed Yes36c357.9$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes49c305.88$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8810739.3%42 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes35c301.07$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3735334%120 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb6…5517backed Yes38c278.05$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.52837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72cb…5962backed Yes28c270$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9410148.5%49 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0be…caa2backed Yes49c257.03$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510b…da8dbacked Yes23c257$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.113339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes15c235.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3129747.5%141 W · 156 L+34.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb28…b1a2backed No64c232.76$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.699151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…d588backed Yes29c230.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.612718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes8c209.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6427322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c202.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.311,0329.3%96 W · 936 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes23c202$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.561,05134.7%365 W · 686 L-93.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes35c201$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.352347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Yes49c201$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.494339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…50c7backed Yes55c192.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes20c161.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.623323.6%55 W · 178 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa6…8634backed Yes47c133.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5890%0 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ad6…cc62backed Yes29c130$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.72544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f96…1e41backed Yes49c123.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd9…b83cbacked Yes31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed No52c119.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.584047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked No76c108.33$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0d…9501backed Yes21c103$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4689…1926backed Yes49c101$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x723e…083ebacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No73c96.34$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.073315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2651…3471backed Yes32c88.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4130543.6%133 W · 172 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed Yes47c84.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.122025%5 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58a8…52febacked Yes52c80.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes21c70.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.484526.7%12 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes36c68.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.537548%36 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes45c66.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf9f…30b1backed Yes49c65.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.02875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48e9…0d07backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No60c59.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.865543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x563d…75aebacked No52c59.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07a9…2ab0backed No65c55.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.582445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes24c55.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.364645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No80c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked No60c52.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.362166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd60…0e42backed Yes25c52.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304b…a619backed Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7570…ffc0backed No43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2762…2cf6backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208939.3%35 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c01…ce56backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33f0…3970backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Yes26c43.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.083271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2894…33c5backed Yes52c42.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes34c40.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.868353%44 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9618637.6%70 W · 116 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x994c…36afbacked Yes50c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+171.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0694…cbffbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No60c36.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.862878.6%22 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No67c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.366141%25 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x651f…5857backed No73c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948a…50e4backed No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.