Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b23e774021477a227af09c5c21d8ab0b8c4a9a6b24ff563863274154431663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,952$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…3d32backed Yes | 18c | 1,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 7c | 577.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed No | 53c | 289.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 24c | 275.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 1,294 | 24.1%312 W · 982 L | -59.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 74c | 253.47$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +19.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 67c | 253.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 38c | 249.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 12c | 211.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 5c | 202.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…7228backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…da8dbacked No | 66c | 199.8$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 37c | 172.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 79c | 162$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 15c | 154.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 10c | 136.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…8634backed Yes | 45c | 108.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 1,060 | 35%371 W · 689 L | -92.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes | 22c | 80.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…95d0backed No | 80c | 66.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed No | 65c | 60.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5517backed Yes | 28c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…8400backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed No | 58c | 45.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed No | 69c | 38.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…3f0cbacked No | 71c | 33.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…a35ebacked No | 66c | 32.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +42%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 42c | 32.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…bedabacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked No | 75c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 163 | 76.7%125 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 4 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of May 4 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.