Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e06a3297e222837c66a7f2613d395dc33615cf7d462427873c5e9f9f56e792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 71c | 828.3$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 63c | 662.26$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 576.05$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 12c | 526.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 40c | 512.83$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 32c | 465.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.6 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Yes | 48c | 395.63$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.73 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 47c | 378.29$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.92 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 45c | 341.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 39c | 302.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…1c7fbacked Yes | 46c | 294.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 54c | 289.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 29c | 269.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.78 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 10c | 263.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 70 | 8.6%6 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 51c | 249.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 38c | 237.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 36c | 232.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…545dbacked Yes | 41c | 231.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed No | 40c | 227.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…46d8backed No | 52c | 218.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 75c | 197.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 52c | 195.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 53c | 185.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 37c | 177.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 176.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 51c | 166.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 20c | 165.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 52c | 160.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…2aa7backed Yes | 36c | 158.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 43c | 139.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 50c | 130.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 46c | 123.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…7ddfbacked No | 66c | 118.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 40c | 116.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 20c | 114.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 52c | 112.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 50c | 111.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 32c | 109.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 15c | 106.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3fb9backed Yes | 53c | 104.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 33c | 102.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…1291backed Yes | 29c | 101.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d5…55f7backed Yes | 60c | 101.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 49c | 100.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…541ebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 13c | 99.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed No | 65c | 99.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 52c | 98.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…128abacked No | 51c | 97.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked Yes | 33c | 96.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Yes | 49c | 96.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 46c | 94.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 41c | 94.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 25c | 93.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x053b…5e50backed Yes | 31c | 89.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Yes | 34c | 89.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 54c | 84.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 63c | 83.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 47c | 80.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 48c | 80.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…7f86backed Yes | 51c | 80.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 61c | 79.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…5a45backed Yes | 37c | 75.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…d416backed Yes | 38c | 74.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 37c | 73.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 54c | 73.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 23c | 73.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 53c | 71.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 59c | 70.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 55c | 69.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 51c | 67.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c9…4a8bbacked No | 23c | 66.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a3…3150backed Yes | 17c | 65.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed No | 55c | 65.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 167 | 64.1%107 W · 60 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…36d6backed Yes | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…d89fbacked Yes | 55c | 63.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…7bb4backed Yes | 17c | 61.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…4b39backed Yes | 37c | 61.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff8…935abacked Yes | 23c | 58.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda8…e905backed No | 56c | 57.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 57c | 57.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 31c | 56.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…314cbacked Yes | 48c | 56.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 77c | 56.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…14e5backed Yes | 37c | 55.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…a7a5backed Yes | 40c | 55.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 33c | 54.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…9e6fbacked No | 50c | 54.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…676dbacked Yes | 30c | 53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…d196backed Yes | 40c | 51.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…cb52backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d0…5009backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ec…e369backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.