Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae24a20b929886191f7c1c71681a3c4239c988016a3b4e49696819b47b5f84ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 13c | 4,435$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.53 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 13c | 4,315$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.62 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 20c | 1,766$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.66 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 23c | 1,480$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.14 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 71c | 1,153$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.82 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked No | 2c | 1,083$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 14c | 1,063$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.42 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 42c | 991.06$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.34 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 43c | 720.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.56 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e11…8024backed Yes | 66c | 705.57$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed Yes | 66c | 687$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 34c | 659$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 12c | 633.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 66c | 568$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 14c | 550.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 52c | 513.28$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.96 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 14c | 502.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 10c | 456$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed No | 34c | 445$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 56c | 323.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 48c | 314.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…19b2backed Yes | 69c | 290.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 36c | 288.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 6c | 265.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…e164backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…71eebacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 34c | 242$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 57c | 237.76$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 67c | 229$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 33c | 220.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 53c | 208.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 71c | 208$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 25c | 204.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…026fbacked Yes | 71c | 184.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 29c | 180.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 17c | 168.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 37c | 167.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 59c | 160$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 10c | 155.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 11c | 140.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 60c | 139.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…6d71backed Yes | 59c | 137.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 16c | 128.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 52c | 126.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 20c | 113.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…10fbbacked No | 61c | 109.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 50c | 97.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 63c | 93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 37c | 93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 44c | 86.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 41c | 80.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…2759backed Yes | 35c | 71.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 20c | 63.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 50c | 61.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 32c | 61.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…d674backed No | 35c | 57.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe097…8e27backed Yes | 62c | 54.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…2ecfbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…ee01backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…28ddbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed Yes | 40c | 49.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 35c | 48.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…22bcbacked Yes | 73c | 47.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 54c | 44.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 57c | 42.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…a81ebacked No | 58c | 33.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 44c | 32.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 46c | 28.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 44c | 25.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 51c | 24.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…a0c4backed Yes | 51c | 24.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 22.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…b261backed Yes | 76c | 21.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…045fbacked No | 67c | 14.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Chael Sonnen win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Kyle Duyck win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.