TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e3b…7a84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.02
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$219.71
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.64
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$15.3
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.24
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.17
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$14.89
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$32.8
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$12.45
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.67
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.32
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$15.68
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.73
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$23.29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+272.9%+$30.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$13.88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+772.2%+$109.28
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$14.66
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$18.33
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$7.95
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$49.56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+232.2%+$46.12
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.44
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverevbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovicbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+201.9%+$46.11
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$12.42
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$4.48
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29%+$3.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$10.36
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$23.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$16.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$17.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistanbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.