TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Zverevof Tomas Machac, Alexander Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$479,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$521,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Tomas Machac10c172,716$16,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,510.3513843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Tomas Machac11c30,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30057939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tomas Machac11c19,710$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.0776146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tomas Machac10c17,293$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.453,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Tomas Machac12c16,651$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.184117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tomas Machac11c14,280$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.878536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Tomas Machac0c10,067$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Tomas Machac12c7,507$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.491,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Tomas Machac13c6,966$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.4612322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Tomas Machac12c6,788$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.4918315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfac1…3176backed Tomas Machac5c6,600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304139%16 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Tomas Machac13c5,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67024840.7%101 W · 147 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Tomas Machac12c4,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tomas Machac1c3,985$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Tomas Machac1c3,910$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.267811.5%9 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Tomas Machac1c3,241$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.911,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Tomas Machac11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33037738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Tomas Machac14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Tomas Machac7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed Tomas Machac4c2,666$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+175.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Tomas Machac13c2,616$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.044916.3%8 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Tomas Machac11c2,510$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Tomas Machac12c2,185$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.941,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tomas Machac14c2,056$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.814,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Tomas Machac15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30057842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Tomas Machac14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019339.4%76 W · 117 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Tomas Machac7c1,929$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13519626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tomas Machac9c1,897$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.624,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Tomas Machac15c1,800$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.994431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Tomas Machac7c1,458$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Tomas Machac14c1,448$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2910423.1%24 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Tomas Machac16c1,400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9937944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Tomas Machac6c1,033$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6238911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Tomas Machac12c1,027$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2542839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tomas Machac14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f8…bf06backed Tomas Machac1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105036%18 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Tomas Machac13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Tomas Machac11c920.71$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.631,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Tomas Machac12c749.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.312,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tomas Machac14c604.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6287251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Tomas Machac14c575.02$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.692,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Tomas Machac14c574.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.017,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Tomas Machac14c564.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Tomas Machac12c550$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.251,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e81…a0e9backed Tomas Machac12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Tomas Machac4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34c…887ebacked Tomas Machac15c460.87$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Tomas Machac11c433.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6556827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b6…6595backed Tomas Machac11c415.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe635…b1a2backed Tomas Machac11c415.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513240.9%54 W · 78 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Tomas Machac12c395.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Tomas Machac14c392.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3904…0cafbacked Tomas Machac13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Tomas Machac13c349.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.558745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42bb…0e22backed Tomas Machac6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Tomas Machac12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Tomas Machac5c320$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1670729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e8…b293backed Tomas Machac6c312.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020337.9%77 W · 126 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Tomas Machac5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156823.5%16 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Tomas Machac12c291.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98b2…95fdbacked Tomas Machac6c264.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.874233.3%14 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Tomas Machac14c222.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2153843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256c…3046backed Tomas Machac6c222$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.322725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Tomas Machac9c221.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9485624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Tomas Machac5c216.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-68.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd932…af3cbacked Tomas Machac13c206.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.811450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…7a84backed Tomas Machac15c203.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.791050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461a…6c70backed Tomas Machac14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tomas Machac14c194.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.183,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Tomas Machac12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Tomas Machac14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4b…e5a8backed Tomas Machac8c123.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.282623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Tomas Machac12c121.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed Tomas Machac12c116.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410825.9%28 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a02…7875backed Tomas Machac15c112.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.55641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tomas Machac12c110$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.249632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a311backed Tomas Machac14c103.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4711735.9%42 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Tomas Machac15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518244%80 W · 102 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Tomas Machac14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1437233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Tomas Machac15c77.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Tomas Machac15c77.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3761…c501backed Tomas Machac17c70.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.792020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0978…78d0backed Tomas Machac16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.