MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x247af1808f15f2e8108df005e2c4be492a1259463d91127fe24448c851783682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $675,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $736,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 100,562$48,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,832.22 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 99,908$4,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.07 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 56,631$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 36,960$25,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,865.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 31,758$16,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,196.82 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 30,132$15,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,367.19 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 23,016$14,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,845.2 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 22,985$15,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,849.82 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 22,064$8,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,334.81 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 21,340$10,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,282.43 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 21,000$10,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,710 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 19,261$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 14,069$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.7 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 9,155$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.77 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 9,134$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.68 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 8,711$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,484.92 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 7,793$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.35 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 7,578$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.96 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 6,999$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.74 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 6,902$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 0c | 6,600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 6,475$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.11 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 5,683$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 5,654$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.53 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 5,423$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.97 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 5,305$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.17 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 4,727$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.87 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x060b…548ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 4,215$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,752$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.18 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,659$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.78 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4399…2bd0backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 3,495$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,300$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.67 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,154$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.57 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,154$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.57 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 3,043$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.24 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,984$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.67 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,486$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.98 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,437$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.68 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,268$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.17 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +96%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 2,002$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.32 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.95 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,772$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.85 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 1,628$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,519$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.46 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 1,418$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.39 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,383$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.33 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,382$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.05 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,309$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.32 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…b2a6backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…72b4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 1,246$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.71 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 1,229$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.14 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…16f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,228$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,220$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 1,217$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.21 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,183$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.47 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.21 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,150$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,117$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.02 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 1,096$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,055$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…439cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,047$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,012$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.1 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…b45cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 999.99$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.99 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 999.96$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…bf72backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 980.96$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…701fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 17c | 974.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 973.2$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.53 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 920.78$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.81 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Tampa Bay Rays | 3c | 881.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 837.97$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.06 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 826.92$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 826.32$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.52 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 793.75$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.81 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 784.3$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.47 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 766$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.02 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 728.6$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.16 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 718.77$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.95 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 712.46$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.57 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.