MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbce6b00ea8a97436f7f304a7b9a00c2e4b95d82e2100b130e1099a93b4a2255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Houston Astros, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 21,111$9,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,711.06 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 17,611$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610.68 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 46c | 15,962$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.25 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 66c | 13,880$9,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.72 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 43c | 13,384$5,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,723.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 10,668$5,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Houston Astros | 7c | 8,580$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.84 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 7,533$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.85 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros | 46c | 7,200$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 5,925$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.02 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 46c | 5,907$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.96 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 27c | 5,521$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 0c | 5,503$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 45c | 5,092$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 4,283$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.42 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Houston Astros | 46c | 4,273$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.79 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 10c | 2,292$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 2,084$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.89 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,926$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.49 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 1,850$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 1,724$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.14 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Houston Astros | 3c | 1,599$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Houston Astros | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,374$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 33c | 1,370$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 10c | 1,274$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…846fbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Houston Astros | 3c | 999.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 963.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 16c | 845.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 29c | 813.01$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Houston Astros | 8c | 724.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros | 43c | 693.17$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.06 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 656.19$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.85 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Houston Astros | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Texas Rangers | 70c | 574.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.18 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Houston Astros | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 488.44$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Houston Astros | 43c | 463.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 453.12$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Houston Astros | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Houston Astros | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 328.22$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Houston Astros | 33c | 297.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 295.8$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 288.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Houston Astros | 46c | 256.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd014…c792backed Houston Astros | 17c | 237.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 43c | 226.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Houston Astros | 46c | 226.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 7c | 225.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 212.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Houston Astros | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Texas Rangers | 76c | 186.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 174$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Houston Astros | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 155.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Houston Astros | 44c | 153.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 11c | 146.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 136$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Houston Astros | 46c | 135.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Houston Astros | 19c | 134.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Houston Astros | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 128.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Texas Rangers | 76c | 122.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 121.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 510 | 49.2%251 W · 259 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Houston Astros | 9c | 121.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 115.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Houston Astros | 44c | 113.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 113.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…d53abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 101.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Houston Astros | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Houston Astros | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Houston Astros | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Houston Astros | 23c | 97.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Houston Astros | 25c | 96.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Houston Astros | 18c | 91.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 86.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 85.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 14.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 15.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-8.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.