Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523c642a2da7b7fcf4ecb1da444d805c790fe16497fa83ba6f99046ec7343ade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,147,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,013,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,147,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25ea…fa5fbacked Yes | 2c | 118,712$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…2a65backed Yes | 2c | 38,980$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 13c | 37,863$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.95 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 55c | 36,100$19,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,173.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 3c | 33,871$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.72 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de7…89a4backed Yes | 0c | 24,576$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes | 1c | 22,894$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.45 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0749…6de9backed Yes | 17c | 19,638$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…c5f0backed Yes | 4c | 17,300$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…6651backed Yes | 2c | 16,794$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…f218backed Yes | 0c | 16,719$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755f…9d72backed Yes | 4c | 16,042$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 0c | 15,199$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…173ebacked No | 71c | 15,152$10,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 2c | 11,411$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…07dabacked Yes | 1c | 11,379$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3358…9072backed Yes | 2c | 11,148$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 25c | 10,895$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.22 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af5…d57abacked Yes | 0c | 10,355$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…5577backed Yes | 1c | 9,687$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…7b7ebacked Yes | 12c | 9,147$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.26 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc7…3976backed Yes | 4c | 9,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 1c | 8,748$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 2c | 8,035$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…a7e9backed Yes | 1c | 8,014$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 29c | 7,805$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.74 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 2c | 7,359$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 2c | 7,340$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 41c | 7,303$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 79c | 7,067$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.65 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 3c | 6,979$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…0198backed Yes | 3c | 6,164$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…241ebacked No | 73c | 6,102$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 0c | 6,078$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 0c | 5,959$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 5,762$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.69 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 5,604$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 5,488$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…9a67backed Yes | 22c | 5,064$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,455$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 26c | 4,400$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.16 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…622ebacked Yes | 48c | 4,260$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed No | 50c | 4,172$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…2219backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 2c | 3,948$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 77c | 3,850$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,813$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…55cdbacked No | 50c | 3,747$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad3…87d7backed Yes | 4c | 3,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +358.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…9518backed Yes | 46c | 3,500$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…d7a9backed Yes | 1c | 3,454$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 40c | 3,283$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.97 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 66c | 3,071$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 1c | 3,023$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 33c | 2,840$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.05 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 5c | 2,666$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,510$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…d9eabacked Yes | 32c | 2,501$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,432$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -70%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…df23backed Yes | 41c | 2,419$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 2c | 2,411$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes | 44c | 2,354$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 62c | 2,250$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…ede0backed Yes | 2c | 2,189$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,083$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…19b8backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.85 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,850$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 1c | 1,690$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,624$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…fc32backed Yes | 24c | 1,458$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…b78fbacked No | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 35c | 1,353$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…1b86backed Yes | 19c | 1,352$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.89 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da5…90c9backed Yes | 44c | 1,280$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,264$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…c745backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 19c | 1,247$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.22 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,205$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,174$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…8b40backed Yes | 36c | 1,036$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3902backed Yes | 36c | 1,035$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…53dabacked No | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad3…b818backed Yes | 48c | 1,007$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…70a5backed Yes | 3c | 1,002$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…abe5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf914…4a78backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 59c | 1,000$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed Yes | 42c | 998.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…eb0abacked Yes | 34c | 949.29$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b0…f23cbacked No | 70c | 933.54$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 2c | 918.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked Yes | 2c | 900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 3c | 878.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0b…0287backed Yes | 2c | 873.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.