Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16c86e4dcce6a72312ef69234b5e08a70d384915f207da7edcce0a39db89af6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d04…0ebdbacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec02…4337backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…1fdfbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51a…eaf2backed No | 0c | 18,240$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 71c | 13,595$9,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.43 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 72c | 12,099$8,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.13 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 1c | 11,801$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 76c | 11,578$8,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.21 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…fadcbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…64cebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…f488backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 22c | 9,862$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.66 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 26c | 7,773$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.06 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked No | 0c | 7,099$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 74c | 6,743$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.88 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…25b9backed No | 28c | 5,760$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…7072backed No | 41c | 5,654$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed No | 23c | 4,315$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 68c | 3,541$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.77 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…9518backed No | 31c | 3,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64d…fdb4backed No | 35c | 2,574$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed No | 21c | 1,923$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 63c | 1,898$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 14c | 1,542$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…90b5backed Yes | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 20c | 1,272$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.36 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x857e…5e3abacked Yes | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 1,200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 7c | 1,057$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ff…3c75backed No | 14c | 1,037$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +182%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 8c | 1,019$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…c231backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 3c | 999.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked No | 8c | 945.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8027backed No | 37c | 893.07$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed No | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…4712backed No | 40c | 704.58$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…3015backed No | 39c | 687.29$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc5…3767backed No | 48c | 593.38$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…bb98backed Yes | 73c | 543.2$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…e8c0backed No | 23c | 516.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…bad3backed No | 40c | 513.91$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked No | 7c | 513.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…a9f3backed Yes | 74c | 463.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…decabacked No | 28c | 440$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 68c | 418.64$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…909cbacked No | 32c | 399.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…4d05backed No | 24c | 396.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…5ea3backed No | 28c | 395.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…0812backed No | 27c | 373.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…3353backed No | 40c | 364.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 19c | 350$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e55…e972backed No | 38c | 334.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked No | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 71c | 293.96$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Yes | 79c | 254.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…bbb3backed No | 28c | 250$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…b9cbbacked Yes | 59c | 249.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…d9eabacked No | 38c | 247.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked No | 43c | 233.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 76c | 230$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed No | 8c | 230$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked No | 36c | 225.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…c9bcbacked No | 39c | 222.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b8…d816backed No | 28c | 219.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…9150backed No | 27c | 212.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed No | 7c | 201.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…c6c6backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a221backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08d0…1f1fbacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4700…41cebacked Yes | 58c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 74c | 199.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…7c7bbacked Yes | 55c | 182.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +269.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…cc71backed No | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…6ac1backed Yes | 66c | 180$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 23c | 170.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…6c04backed No | 13c | 159.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 70c | 145.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…5d9bbacked No | 34c | 145.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…f1ffbacked No | 27c | 141.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d35…cbffbacked No | 48c | 139.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 73c | 136.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…b493backed Yes | 76c | 131.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…21babacked No | 27c | 131.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed8…6c32backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…d89abacked Yes | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…61dcbacked No | 30c | 117.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 26c | 117.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked No | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Yes | 57c | 105$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 63c | 100.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…ef60backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x749d…1fb3backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…c0fbbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41be…6df5backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.