TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4967…dd78backed Yes7c6,334$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes42c1,892$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.0434534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes2c1,600$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292934.1%12 W · 281 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes4c928$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31987.1%14 W · 184 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-69.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes44c852.46$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.1230238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5082…049dbacked Yes60c789.99$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.094548.9%22 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf80e…2af8backed No75c733.11$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e01…63bebacked Yes59c684$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.1515556.1%87 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No39c499.67$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.81931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a31…b2c2backed No58c493.36$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.97944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid-14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21af…f272backed No42c465.11$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc320…7637backed No35c457.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.794837.5%18 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdab…37b8backed Yes65c411.11$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.34825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked No62c396.47$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3829436.1%106 W · 188 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09c8…ec00backed No57c385$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45cd…14ddbacked Yes15c323.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+76.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ba…0711backed Yes71c271.86$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa380…08a4backed Yes51c260.21$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a18…d6f8backed Yes29c257.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71a…1bb6backed No41c254.42$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.531266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes13c244.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0916516.4%27 W · 138 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed No58c234.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.81,27724.3%310 W · 967 L-58.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c22…d8ccbacked No52c231$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.882050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c9…a2efbacked No50c225.66$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.36785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No49c211.51$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.518617.4%15 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7d…62b2backed No66c210.08$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.982759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x264b…cf7fbacked Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029747.5%141 W · 156 L+34.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x58ec…5bc0backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116100%0 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba0b…7278backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed No44c174.91$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.227439.2%29 W · 45 L+12.3wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+131.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes14c174.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0926413.3%35 W · 229 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes7c169.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1712348.8%60 W · 63 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58ff…7e02backed Yes19c163.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No46c159.16$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8318637.6%70 W · 116 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7438…b741backed Yes11c155.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.75714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes15c148.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8521815.6%34 W · 184 L-37.8wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-68.9%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes49c137$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.413060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8deb…d435backed No69c134.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.961060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f9…b94cbacked Yes43c133.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Yes41c130.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.083511.4%4 W · 31 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-55.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x07f8…34f2backed Yes57c129.09$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e84…73afbacked No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae01…0c40backed Yes20c107.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.664330.2%13 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1029…9b36backed Yes20c102.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.026338.1%24 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5a2bbacked Yes43c102$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dd…f7f7backed Yes43c101$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f0…04e9backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-62%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbdcb…e811backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88aa…ea6fbacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c74…f90ebacked No45c99.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.781376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.35per pick42cpaid+169.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes51c97.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6910938.5%42 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes39c95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe192…1e11backed Yes52c94.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes35c87.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6221228.8%61 W · 151 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes43c86.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.011421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f69…61abbacked Yes35c84.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed Yes19c84.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.967945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes36c80.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.862759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1276…520abacked Yes43c74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df2…4c6abacked No64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x404e…a0d3backed Yes40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfb7…df10backed No43c69.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x389a…397dbacked No75c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1710051%51 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f2…6759backed No64c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be6…9539backed Yes63c63.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes74c62.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.774042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a29…9b2ebacked No50c62.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.32161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30b8…3f6dbacked No64c62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9873…b848backed No64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fed…a46fbacked Yes43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab8…eb56backed Yes44c59.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.6wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No59c59.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3316050.6%81 W · 79 L+13.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ecc…9d8dbacked No64c59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0377…8fa0backed Yes17c58.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…2bdabacked No52c57.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842b…b366backed Yes55c53.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.667930.4%24 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…3c17backed No44c51.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.54per pick30cpaid+288.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd62…50e5backed Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f04…d82ebacked No63c49.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.625429.6%16 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf8…2094backed Yes58c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.842254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe689…abc1backed Yes43c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7132…a53ebacked No39c45.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9811100%11 W · 0 L+5.2wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+136.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5d4e…97b1backed No64c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9336…cd98backed Yes60c43.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes41c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.935028%14 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2103…4ff5backed Yes61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4190%0 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xee33…1822backed Yes36c32.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.123732.4%12 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c82…7018backed No54c30.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.181275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1523846.6%111 W · 127 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcdb…87d9backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2762…2cf6backed No46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38939.3%35 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8497…a3b4backed No75c29.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes72c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4816276.5%124 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick73cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.743250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19dd…8f24backed No78c25.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.625100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+421.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc175…3f34backed Yes50c24.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a8…0694backed No64c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.