Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61992d3a5dbe51794dd3171406df8cd033743466de3242e1cfe65f176a8530ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb36…8988backed No | 4c | 6,476$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…24eebacked Yes | 8c | 2,948$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 63c | 1,295$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.55 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,047$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 49c | 574.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.93 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 26c | 514.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.71 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed No | 23c | 399.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.97 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 15c | 261.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked No | 24c | 204.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.53 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 69c | 146.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b2…1296backed No | 12c | 144.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 74c | 109.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 106.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 67c | 76.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ded…fbcdbacked Yes | 74c | 74.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…3c17backed No | 18c | 72.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 30cpaid | +288.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 67.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 31c | 67.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked No | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes | 74c | 57.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 74c | 56.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed No | 21c | 55.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 74c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Yes | 78c | 24.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 64c | 19.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.