Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40f8bd1249712c000fe454859eead3984281ccba71e98e4c30a971d15290a706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 29c | 1,577$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.29 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 76c | 1,298$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked No | 76c | 900.29$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.22 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked No | 21c | 885$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 8c | 543.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 25c | 433.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.79 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes | 64c | 417.67$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 289.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 31c | 287$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4c…78afbacked No | 23c | 281.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 24c | 280.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.56 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…923bbacked No | 23c | 276.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…d530backed Yes | 77c | 272.35$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…ee03backed Yes | 77c | 269.81$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…69cdbacked Yes | 77c | 269.51$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…4bbbbacked No | 23c | 262.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…6cf6backed Yes | 77c | 252.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…f6fbbacked No | 23c | 243.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde65…eea5backed Yes | 80c | 225.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 26c | 202.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…df15backed No | 24c | 199.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…ec51backed No | 24c | 197.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…d265backed No | 24c | 187.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…a08abacked No | 24c | 172.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…0af4backed No | 24c | 153.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…b335backed No | 18c | 150.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +227.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 144.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…4498backed No | 24c | 141.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 46c | 137.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…6b8abacked Yes | 70c | 129.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 41c | 123.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 53c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 12c | 118.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 48c | 111.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 16c | 100.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…cd59backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 45c | 76.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed No | 32c | 67.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…d361backed Yes | 74c | 64.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 40c | 53.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 72c | 35.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 75c | 29.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed Yes | 68c | 17.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 78c | 14.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.