Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c8c8e15e571932f9d39888f4a037b8a726363afa6308e27a7a68728b01b5f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 41c | 6,219$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.45 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed No | 51c | 5,465$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.51 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 54c | 4,571$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.19 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 52c | 2,755$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed Yes | 60c | 2,100$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.07 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 3c | 1,962$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 56c | 1,792$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 24c | 1,376$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.44 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Yes | 47c | 1,115$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.71 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 55c | 1,050$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.61 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 57c | 928.39$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.18 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed No | 14c | 699.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 49c | 650$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Yes | 50c | 602.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 32c | 596.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 23c | 481.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…ea6fbacked No | 57c | 438.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked No | 51c | 425$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 58c | 396.2$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 48c | 375.42$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.42 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 22c | 342.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.91 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked No | 10c | 313.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 9c | 309.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 292$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 33c | 289.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.87 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 29c | 273.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 258.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 47c | 255$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked No | 56c | 250$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 25c | 211.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 10c | 204$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 74c | 200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed No | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 199$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…3b52backed Yes | 80c | 188$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 55c | 187.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…75b4backed No | 33c | 170$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed Yes | 49c | 160.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd4…fe7bbacked Yes | 59c | 160.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 66c | 149.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x311d…5357backed No | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…f83dbacked No | 54c | 137.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…ac39backed No | 74c | 133.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…c90bbacked No | 51c | 118.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1694…8badbacked No | 56c | 118.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked No | 50c | 114.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 49c | 114.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 48c | 110.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3976…808cbacked No | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 69c | 102$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed No | 12c | 100.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…3047backed Yes | 51c | 100.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +233%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…ca16backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed No | 58c | 99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed No | 17c | 95.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07de…d18ebacked Yes | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…1af2backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +224.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…c83bbacked Yes | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x925f…64e2backed Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…4943backed Yes | 50c | 75.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked No | 62c | 70.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked Yes | 44c | 69.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +215.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…befdbacked Yes | 69c | 67.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…56edbacked Yes | 40c | 66.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad7…2a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 64.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…90a2backed Yes | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…fb7cbacked No | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…602bbacked Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed Yes | 48c | 51.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…3e8dbacked Yes | 50c | 50.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Yes | 49c | 50.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0f43backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…006abacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596d…1aadbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c6…1f92backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae3d…d42dbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…e221backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…e294backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…eb8cbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2c17backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…f8a1backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…1da0backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?this page
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.