Commodities · resolved market

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd2e97bd366a2bcf808dd7f416706daee98b1146523da21c412555e59352d36

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,141 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc8ab…6418backed No	47c	7,900$3,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,734.99	930	40.3%375 W · 555 L	-67.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54a7…881bbacked No	43c	3,155$1,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,348.02	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-5.8wins	-0.22per pick	61cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	55c	3,002$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,341.38	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	+17.9wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed No	43c	2,794$1,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.69	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec1…d7fabacked Yes	66c	2,226$1,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.99	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf189…8e47backed No	71c	1,879$1,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.03	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdac5…ae24backed No	48c	1,753$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.39	198	55.6%110 W · 88 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes	53c	1,715$905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.94	292	36.3%106 W · 186 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+25%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed No	1c	1,704$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	112	12.5%14 W · 98 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66ed…aa53backed Yes	63c	1,564$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.48	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	8c	1,458$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.76	273	22%60 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes	59c	1,145$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.14	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-27%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f3…844ebacked Yes	74c	1,114$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.83	304	38.8%118 W · 186 L	+20.0wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf57d…bf12backed No	8c	1,027$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.52	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f8b…56edbacked No	4c	905.47$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5f…634dbacked No	79c	800$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-7.3wins	-0.19per pick	61cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	57c	741.68$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.56	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	54cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc18b…3917backed No	24c	699.99$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	101	26.7%27 W · 74 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes	29c	617.29$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.27	1,265	24.5%310 W · 955 L	-56.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	24c	489.54$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.33	345	34.5%119 W · 226 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes	62c	470.82$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.36	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Yes	56c	459$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes	55c	400$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b3…4484backed Yes	23c	399.99$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.99	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No	71c	368$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.96	177	52%92 W · 85 L	+20.4wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e58…4344backed Yes	72c	362.12$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.73	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	77c	342.22$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.23	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10c6…19b6backed No	24c	299.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.23per pick	41cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	54c	280.19$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.17	390	34.4%134 W · 256 L	-33.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	66c	264.68$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.71	1,045	34.6%362 W · 683 L	-93.1wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b8f…b420backed Yes	66c	250$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…a94ebacked No	22c	250$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	43c	245.6$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.89	353	34%120 W · 233 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	54c	215$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.9	111	33.3%37 W · 74 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1137…4ed5backed Yes	24c	209.23$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.23	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05ae…c88bbacked Yes	30c	207$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.9	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x702c…b1e6backed No	41c	206.14$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.19	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked No	44c	200$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…66b0backed Yes	64c	200$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb389…8d11backed Yes	61c	186.39$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef5…c90bbacked No	74c	184.6$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.25	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb28…b1a2backed No	49c	178.47$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.12	91	51.6%47 W · 44 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	44c	177.95$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.3	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	49c	167.93$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.83	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed No	30c	165.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.88	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1583…bddebacked Yes	52c	162.33$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.3	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	43c	151.82$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.49	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-11.1wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb527…3b52backed Yes	59c	150.87$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.22	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	77c	143$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.11	144	29.9%43 W · 101 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	25c	139.11$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.78	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No	34c	136.97$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.02	233	23.6%55 W · 178 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Yes	32c	128$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.04	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+15.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf96c…9014backed No	43c	127.78$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.39	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6abd…3297backed Yes	52c	110$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x560d…1028backed Yes	23c	109.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.2	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+252.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed No	32c	108.51$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.46	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc318…d82abacked No	78c	100$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.67	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked No	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21a6…c753backed No	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x907c…23c1backed Yes	56c	99.99$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-8.0wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed No	45c	95.09$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.98	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e0…6392backed Yes	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae77…2971backed Yes	54c	91.82$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.82	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+123.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes	58c	86.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.5	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes	55c	81$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.13	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No	44c	80$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	25c	76.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.13	75	48%36 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	39c	75.67$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.48	307	18.6%57 W · 250 L	-17.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-34%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed No	69c	74.93$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd3…1a5abacked No	44c	72$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x736f…deaabacked Yes	31c	65$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.78	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.40per pick	40cpaid	+99.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes	33c	64.18$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x582a…7bb2backed No	43c	59.85$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…f748backed Yes	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	105	51.4%54 W · 51 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd7a…dc52backed No	46c	51.85$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c14…8da1backed No	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x363b…006abacked Yes	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+42%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x805a…1085backed No	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…0fd3backed Yes	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+30%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98e…a2c9backed No	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea4b…eb8cbacked Yes	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad5…e33fbacked No	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…3cc9backed No	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9c…0002backed No	78c	50$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…04e3backed Yes	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+127.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0443…2221backed No	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4018…01f6backed Yes	59c	46.42$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d8f…aef9backed No	44c	45.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fef…66ecbacked No	43c	41.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a9…339ebacked No	26c	39.54$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0386…e95ebacked Yes	58c	37.84$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	46c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.24	218	15.6%34 W · 184 L	-37.8wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	33-0.16 edge/pick
0x99ef…d8f2backed Yes	60c	33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.04	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+111.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes	71c	29.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	302	38.1%115 W · 187 L	+11.1wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	74c	24.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	162	76.5%124 W · 38 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	73cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3976…808cbacked Yes	58c	23.79$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.93	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	79c	22.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	123	48.8%60 W · 63 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?this page
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in June?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in June?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?No won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?Yes won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?Yes won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?Yes won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in June?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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