Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d531f4dbec29c3b02f1f064b853439733500ea394fe52c2d398c3b964645b9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 7,200$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.94 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 26c | 3,371$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.43 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…81cebacked Yes | 75c | 2,703$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 25c | 2,075$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.41 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 52c | 1,815$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.63 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 31c | 1,753$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.89 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 73c | 1,684$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 1,364$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.59 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 9c | 1,193$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes | 80c | 1,145$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,005$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.81 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 50c | 953.07$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.47 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…f9c0backed No | 77c | 709.99$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Yes | 46c | 698.18$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.09 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed No | 36c | 660$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 24c | 646.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.92 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 41c | 560.12$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.47 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 64c | 560$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.86 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…d7fabacked Yes | 59c | 526.61$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…1af2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +224.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…31e3backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +336.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…0002backed No | 72c | 413.09$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…3b52backed Yes | 65c | 404.33$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 36c | 400.87$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.09 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…6be6backed No | 73c | 400.1$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…c427backed No | 75c | 399.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 350.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 76c | 264$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 39c | 260$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 59c | 240.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…84f6backed Yes | 71c | 215.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…e1e0backed Yes | 76c | 213.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…c11abacked Yes | 11c | 204.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed No | 25c | 195.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 34c | 187.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 53c | 185$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…56edbacked No | 10c | 178.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 166.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…cd85backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 19c | 133$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 10c | 128.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…0b0fbacked Yes | 19c | 124.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 17c | 115.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…b1e6backed Yes | 26c | 108$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…a877backed Yes | 22c | 104$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…2ab7backed No | 18c | 99.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…7612backed Yes | 26c | 98.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…e4acbacked No | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 38c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 62c | 86.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 58c | 85.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 34c | 85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 23c | 80.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 37c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 19c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed No | 77c | 68.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 38c | 62.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…941ebacked Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…633abacked No | 33c | 58.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 24c | 52.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…8195backed Yes | 58c | 52.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 67c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…1323backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…d0c4backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…5e45backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde85…7ffcbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -59%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…7b28backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb35…88b9backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…1734backed Yes | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…207fbacked Yes | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 60c | 41.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…6fbdbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.29per pick | 72cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…ba9fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Yes | 30c | 33.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 70c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…8d24backed Yes | 60c | 18.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?this page
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.