Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74192fcd2fd3a04fb3c0b68c990a48ccbedf7275f9033be952c17921c4585e79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 12c | 6,201$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.48 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…0b53backed No | 33c | 4,910$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,905$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…b519backed Yes | 6c | 3,219$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 7c | 2,653$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 22c | 1,569$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.98 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,520$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +186%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 64c | 1,407$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.81 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,300$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 14c | 1,295$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.94 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 54c | 1,151$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.48 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c41…3ec8backed Yes | 78c | 917.77$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed Yes | 69c | 871.09$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes | 56c | 831.2$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.04 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…4683backed Yes | 36c | 814.72$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…0850backed Yes | 50c | 779.63$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.04 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…54c9backed Yes | 7c | 760.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…95b2backed No | 29c | 691.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +454.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf717…51e2backed Yes | 67c | 663.02$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…e15abacked Yes | 74c | 643.79$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…b066backed No | 68c | 613.02$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.24 | 24 | 95.8%23 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 72cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 70c | 611$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.18 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…1bc0backed Yes | 77c | 579.81$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 71c | 534.59$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.3 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 79c | 527.65$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…f731backed Yes | 7c | 481.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…aefcbacked Yes | 56c | 479.79$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…f886backed No | 32c | 454.94$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 9c | 454.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…a200backed Yes | 25c | 400.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…c2acbacked Yes | 66c | 377$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed Yes | 75c | 341.62$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked No | 33c | 333.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 18c | 329.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.72 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 31c | 323.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed No | 33c | 306.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 26cpaid | +255.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79ebbacked No | 37c | 299.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +196.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…4af1backed Yes | 71c | 298.92$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 75c | 289.52$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…e915backed Yes | 21c | 287.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…ca57backed Yes | 72c | 282.43$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 21c | 271.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…6811backed Yes | 75c | 268.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked No | 22c | 244.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…ea6fbacked Yes | 66c | 242.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…af3fbacked No | 40c | 237.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…9121backed Yes | 77c | 235.86$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 233.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…30c3backed Yes | 9c | 219.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ee…5d95backed No | 60c | 207.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…3750backed Yes | 75c | 205.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…939cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…c4a9backed Yes | 70c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…20d4backed Yes | 64c | 199.93$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 78c | 192.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…000dbacked No | 50c | 190.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…97e9backed Yes | 74c | 190$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…98b2backed Yes | 20c | 188.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked Yes | 30c | 182.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…6d71backed Yes | 58c | 181.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes | 69c | 177.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…4743backed Yes | 66c | 171.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…45fdbacked Yes | 65c | 168.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 60cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…d343backed No | 57c | 162.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 9c | 157.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 68c | 156.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed Yes | 60c | 155.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 69c | 152.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…b95abacked Yes | 52c | 152.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 35c | 152.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 15c | 150$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 78c | 138.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +116%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 71c | 136.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 23c | 114.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 22c | 114.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 18c | 104.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 21c | 102.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked Yes | 22c | 100.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +200.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e99…a10cbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…a0fabacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…7ba9backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94ad…8218backed Yes | 29c | 92.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…d8e6backed Yes | 77c | 91.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…c1a0backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fc…e300backed No | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 88.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 76c | 87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +283%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked Yes | 68c | 85.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 58c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7b…d6a5backed No | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 69.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed No | 73c | 68.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $55 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.