Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29745e02be4cf797fb140b47232e1152cfd192df87d7b106026e4ce938e4ab43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ab…ed02backed No | 58c | 10,008$5,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,763.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 73c | 3,520$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.25 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 11c | 2,726$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 10c | 2,109$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.51 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…a999backed No | 29c | 1,850$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…226cbacked No | 33c | 1,829$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 10c | 1,755$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.47 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c01…67f8backed No | 37c | 1,658$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,596$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 4c | 1,538$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 12c | 1,267$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.28 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 24c | 1,214$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.42 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed No | 36c | 1,075$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.41 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b5…bef4backed Yes | 59c | 1,050$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…e80bbacked No | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 15c | 785.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c6f1backed Yes | 56c | 736.48$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +291%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…34afbacked No | 29c | 728.88$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 5c | 686.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +900%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef8…86dfbacked No | 2c | 599.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…ae2abacked No | 20c | 564.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 63c | 543$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 20c | 497.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79a…d65cbacked No | 9c | 475.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 5c | 417$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…448ebacked No | 35c | 366.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed No | 8c | 342.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 25c | 340$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff3…00b3backed No | 27c | 329.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed No | 9c | 268.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 60c | 265.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…4690backed Yes | 59c | 236.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 39c | 235.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed No | 23c | 213.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…c0cdbacked No | 29c | 209$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 201.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 6c | 193.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 12c | 174.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…498ebacked Yes | 77c | 165.57$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked No | 7c | 161.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 72c | 145$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…d715backed No | 14c | 111.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 31c | 107.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…72b1backed Yes | 63c | 107.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 105.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 16c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 16c | 64.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +116%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…3681backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…c78ebacked No | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3496backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Yes | 58c | 42.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 74c | 26.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $55 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.