Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda560c1d720ba823bac866e690d61cb2bf2eea17f5d10b8ac1d7c0c64c017ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 6,088$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.79 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 67c | 3,753$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.09 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…0b97backed Yes | 14c | 3,033$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 6c | 2,535$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.57 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 41c | 1,372$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.85 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed No | 15c | 1,317$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 26cpaid | +255.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 41c | 797.36$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.34 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a98…e1e2backed No | 21c | 729.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 10cpaid | +485.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdff…65a9backed Yes | 48c | 649.86$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…b519backed Yes | 13c | 619.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes | 39c | 608.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 12c | 587.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed No | 11c | 555.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 7cpaid | +674%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 20c | 526.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.8 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b77…b3f2backed Yes | 58c | 504.31$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…20d4backed Yes | 58c | 495.19$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…95b2backed No | 13c | 448$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +454.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…7713backed Yes | 69c | 426.85$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…7241backed No | 46c | 392.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 11c | 307.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…0cf6backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 8c | 253.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 22c | 252.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.22 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 29c | 211.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…4997backed No | 5c | 200$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +214.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…db3cbacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 69c | 200$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +200.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…000dbacked No | 59c | 193.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 19c | 192.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.49 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 27c | 184.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 7c | 179.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 168.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…939cbacked Yes | 61c | 166.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…a200backed Yes | 57c | 158.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…fc66backed Yes | 15c | 135.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…d231backed No | 57c | 132.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…b95abacked Yes | 66c | 131.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…c193backed Yes | 76c | 131.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 127.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 50c | 115.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 110.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 11c | 108.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed Yes | 78c | 98.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -86%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed Yes | 79c | 97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked No | 18c | 96.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 22c | 93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 57c | 84.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 16c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…78b7backed No | 70c | 70.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…aefcbacked Yes | 54c | 65.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 35c | 57.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf222…73b4backed No | 63c | 48.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…016fbacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No | 59c | 38.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…e080backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160f…6380backed Yes | 54c | 37.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 60c | 37.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 37c | 35.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…26e6backed Yes | 55c | 25.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7348…a056backed Yes | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…a877backed Yes | 80c | 21.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…8388backed No | 65c | 19.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…e117backed No | 66c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…d8febacked Yes | 58c | 18.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…3cd6backed Yes | 57c | 18.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…416dbacked Yes | 64c | 18.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…5d1fbacked Yes | 71c | 16.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…3c34backed Yes | 65c | 16.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…58b3backed No | 65c | 15.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $55 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.