Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ebf13f270114d81071e839738e737e3df53fded80b9496c3a4ad6da018bb9cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71a9…06b1backed No | 39c | 6,700$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…a161backed Yes | 61c | 6,700$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 68c | 4,338$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.62 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…f847backed No | 35c | 2,923$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 3c | 2,322$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,955$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…d3b1backed Yes | 3c | 1,670$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 74c | 1,553$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.75 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 35c | 1,421$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.56 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f54…e9e9backed Yes | 74c | 1,320$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.54 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 35cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 24c | 1,212$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…721abacked No | 50c | 1,063$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…14fabacked Yes | 59c | 976.61$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.26 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…46b6backed Yes | 12c | 818.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 74c | 799.99$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…1bc0backed Yes | 60c | 770.1$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked No | 54c | 762.18$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 690.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked Yes | 64c | 626.65$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +186%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…7867backed Yes | 64c | 611.98$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 23c | 601.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.13 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…d15cbacked Yes | 73c | 569.72$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8c…e19ebacked No | 20c | 533.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked No | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 55c | 462.65$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.93 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1d…4fe9backed No | 41c | 443.78$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 4c | 435.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed Yes | 3c | 417.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 48c | 383.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 37c | 376.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes | 4c | 375.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…22debacked No | 27c | 319.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +265.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…0850backed Yes | 34c | 302.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…4d30backed No | 35c | 294.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +236%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…6811backed Yes | 68c | 282.57$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed No | 73c | 274.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 7c | 273.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…2c3ebacked No | 17c | 250$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +567.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…3750backed Yes | 47c | 234.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…6d71backed Yes | 54c | 229.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 227.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…9fc9backed Yes | 44c | 222$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…1c8cbacked No | 36c | 216$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.41 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 41c | 215.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.8 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 20c | 209.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.15 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 26c | 200.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab25…5666backed Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…7ba9backed Yes | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 193.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…000dbacked No | 41c | 186.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc80b…4d0bbacked Yes | 57c | 185.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde85…82dfbacked Yes | 80c | 184.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…aefcbacked Yes | 65c | 184.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed No | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 26cpaid | +255.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 181.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…ae52backed Yes | 58c | 173.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b96…4016backed Yes | 46c | 161.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed Yes | 58c | 158.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 27c | 156.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 56c | 151.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…4997backed No | 18c | 150$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +214.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…b066backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 24 | 95.8%23 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 72cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb2…a688backed Yes | 67c | 149.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 8c | 148.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…e7e1backed Yes | 34c | 145.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…e0fbbacked Yes | 66c | 136.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf717…51e2backed Yes | 47c | 133.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…30c3backed Yes | 8c | 131.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Yes | 8c | 131$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 126.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…f73abacked No | 38c | 121$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…d5e3backed Yes | 65c | 115.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked No | 49c | 113.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…2d5bbacked Yes | 55c | 109.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…b782backed Yes | 39c | 107.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…759bbacked Yes | 11c | 106.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…d8e6backed No | 49c | 101.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…baf4backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…e6c5backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81d4…9ce7backed Yes | 51c | 98.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…e775backed No | 40c | 98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…45fdbacked Yes | 47c | 96.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 60cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…184dbacked Yes | 45c | 88.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a13…ea35backed Yes | 59c | 84.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…0e2bbacked No | 36c | 82.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…b4e2backed Yes | 60c | 80.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…e02ebacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 34c | 79.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked No | 50c | 79.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 47c | 75.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…b864backed Yes | 31c | 74.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Yes | 68c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 69.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 50c | 66.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…f635backed Yes | 46c | 65.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…c9d5backed Yes | 54c | 65.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…c9e1backed Yes | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…d45abacked No | 44c | 64.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 26c | 64.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $55 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.