Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1e8a22a7d4a1db1230a161107a8a4026d04c67e21709b990809e7f72dbfe46c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Downof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Down | 69c | 3,705$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.03 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Up | 46c | 3,619$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Up | 37c | 3,311$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Up | 21c | 3,256$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.12 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Up | 40c | 3,000$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.5 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…0d21backed Down | 62c | 2,792$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Down | 72c | 2,782$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.06 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Down | 59c | 2,515$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.02 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Down | 58c | 2,420$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.7 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Up | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Down | 72c | 2,000$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Up | 51c | 2,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Up | 25c | 1,954$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.57 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Down | 49c | 1,694$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.74 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Up | 49c | 1,256$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.05 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…9603backed Down | 72c | 1,150$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6905…d6f7backed Up | 43c | 1,057$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4016…4623backed Up | 34c | 1,048$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.68 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0a7dbacked Up | 29c | 878.04$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +233%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Up | 42c | 861.18$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Down | 73c | 838.6$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.19 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…17f4backed Up | 38c | 748.02$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Up | 40c | 730.96$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.77 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Down | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…c61abacked Up | 33c | 604.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Down | 63c | 600$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Down | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…8df6backed Down | 66c | 600$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Up | 48c | 573.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.21 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Down | 69c | 555$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…4dcbbacked Up | 40c | 553.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…13a1backed Up | 31c | 512.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Down | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Down | 65c | 489.56$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed Up | 37c | 480.11$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…d979backed Down | 60c | 452.24$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Down | 66c | 450.44$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…fd8dbacked Up | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…c2f0backed Up | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Down | 63c | 332.23$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Down | 60c | 331.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed Down | 78c | 321.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Up | 50c | 314$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2593…01a6backed Up | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…2418backed Down | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed Down | 65c | 295.32$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…f8a5backed Up | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…ea6fbacked Up | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Up | 29c | 229.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Up | 35c | 221.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9b87backed Down | 55c | 208$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084a…2a51backed Down | 61c | 201$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0f43backed Up | 32c | 199.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Up | 33c | 196.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 365 | 50.4%184 W · 181 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Up | 11c | 188$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked Up | 12c | 180.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Down | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Up | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…c90bbacked Down | 74c | 127$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…c63dbacked Up | 17c | 119.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Up | 44c | 116.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c9…e62dbacked Up | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…9244backed Down | 51c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Up | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…2af5backed Up | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Down | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bb…1b2fbacked Down | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Down | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…3d3abacked Up | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…e990backed Down | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…a539backed Up | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb1…09c8backed Down | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a8…9e87backed Down | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…453abacked Down | 64c | 82.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Down | 66c | 79.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…d74dbacked Up | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…0b8bbacked Down | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…857ebacked Up | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Down | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Up | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…0b19backed Up | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…365bbacked Up | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Up | 32c | 43.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…aa05backed Up | 48c | 42.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…664dbacked Down | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…e55dbacked Up | 51c | 41.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Up | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Up | 40c | 39.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…8831backed Up | 52c | 25.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…6783backed Down | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.