Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ef14fdfaf600c4089ead1424b448ee723762b4d6dd19f774dc4681ac4f74622

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 1, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $444,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $345,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,644 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe3b6…86abbacked Yes	3c	36,742$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,086.23	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc46…c7c5backed Yes	13c	21,159$2,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,701.62	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes	0c	17,887$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.77	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	+470.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…ff78backed Yes	6c	12,518$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.49	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x783e…d7c8backed Yes	10c	12,230$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2048…f572backed No	72c	8,581$6,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,434.75	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	7,576$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.32	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae7…9603backed Yes	10c	6,892$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.93	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39ba…c95fbacked Yes	0c	6,815$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd3…da1ebacked Yes	13c	6,472$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.85	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fef…8a8fbacked Yes	6c	5,854$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.26	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+66.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df7…c90dbacked Yes	12c	5,000$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b3…8828backed Yes	8c	4,920$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.52	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed Yes	11c	4,590$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	6c	4,500$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.93	61	16.4%10 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes	8c	4,300$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.7	75	14.7%11 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc23…9297backed Yes	13c	3,900$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.5	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	28cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes	5c	3,550$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.75	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e45…6f64backed Yes	13c	3,314$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.56	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+5.4wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+69.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcab8…b955backed Yes	10c	3,266$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.77	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5b…2903backed Yes	13c	3,079$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.85	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d1…2bb3backed Yes	15c	2,981$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.75	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c68…2ddcbacked Yes	7c	2,830$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-65%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Yes	18c	2,775$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.3	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef3f…9560backed Yes	15c	2,710$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.71	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c65…3e45backed No	67c	2,553$1,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$845.09	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes	16c	2,518$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.35	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Yes	5c	2,375$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.56	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-36%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8203…0187backed Yes	27c	2,280$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.83	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-4.8wins	-0.30per pick	42cpaid	-84%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xba94…d855backed Yes	9c	2,200$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.74	25	36%9 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7a…0e63backed Yes	5c	2,191$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70a…692ebacked Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	39cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f35…c9b1backed Yes	36c	1,900$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41c5…0d43backed Yes	16c	1,879$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea5…3fdabacked Yes	17c	1,808$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.7	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1602…6945backed Yes	32c	1,798$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	7c	1,789$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.06	77	3.9%3 W · 74 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	2c	1,769$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.97	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986f…438bbacked Yes	20c	1,668$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.39	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf069…7f74backed Yes	12c	1,653$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.9	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	4c	1,644$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.07	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda24…4af9backed Yes	11c	1,620$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.89	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc08c…fa1fbacked Yes	4c	1,500$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbf…6c43backed Yes	7c	1,493$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+93.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb045…d8bcbacked Yes	7c	1,419$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa553…6236backed Yes	39c	1,405$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.24per pick	37cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea07…d8b7backed Yes	8c	1,400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…ffd4backed Yes	12c	1,365$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb36…7afbbacked Yes	7c	1,364$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.03	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	13c	1,342$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.74	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b02…caa6backed Yes	19c	1,337$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11e9…4136backed Yes	23c	1,278$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0503…db3dbacked Yes	7c	1,262$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.66	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9035…ac58backed No	66c	1,248$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.78	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5eb…f269backed Yes	19c	1,221$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacc3…6682backed Yes	9c	1,204$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.87	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	30cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc2…d2afbacked Yes	8c	1,157$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.47	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e67…f4a7backed Yes	16c	1,100$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.2	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7898…644cbacked Yes	5c	1,100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8904…80a3backed Yes	7c	1,094$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.03	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Yes	14c	1,045$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.51	130	23.8%31 W · 99 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes	9c	1,000$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	7c	1,000$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c7…6ff2backed Yes	6c	1,000$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddb…0dbbbacked No	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	69cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccd…6a1dbacked Yes	9c	1,000$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe613…540ebacked Yes	2c	1,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-77.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e81…5d10backed Yes	9c	1,000$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes	10c	990.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Yes	7c	989.8$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.72	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8308…7536backed Yes	16c	970.07$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.26	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc3…b21fbacked No	76c	947.15$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.99	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b9…cedcbacked Yes	16c	935.28$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.82	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Yes	14c	929.35$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	112	25.9%29 W · 83 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	8c	913.47$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.51	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf1…ee87backed Yes	7c	902.45$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.33	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes	6c	900$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fc…e11fbacked Yes	5c	900$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.2	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa84f…bc44backed No	75c	868.04$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.66	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…2c59backed Yes	12c	846.85$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.95	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2542…9bcdbacked Yes	7c	744.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.77	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c0…52a2backed Yes	9c	729.89$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.02	36	5.6%2 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ed…7d22backed Yes	13c	726.32$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	46cpaid	+59.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0643…8eccbacked Yes	5c	700$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433b…f372backed Yes	19c	691.46$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.44	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a7…c4e7backed Yes	21c	689.99$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.4	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	11c	675.4$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.74	333	29.7%99 W · 234 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0aae…60cfbacked Yes	6c	672.89$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.12	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe745…907bbacked Yes	15c	670$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bf…fd64backed Yes	10c	651.62$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	26cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b79…7062backed Yes	8c	630$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.08	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	26cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x442d…523ebacked Yes	4c	624.62$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.08	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa060…4f7fbacked Yes	32c	624.5$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	35cpaid	+261.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Yes	6c	623.45$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e41…23a2backed Yes	8c	614.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.55	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x124e…ab7cbacked Yes	17c	600$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5e8…a5cbbacked Yes	16c	600$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.17	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c22…59edbacked Yes	7c	600$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…0d18backed Yes	8c	599.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x802a…5f10backed Yes	5c	598.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?this page
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes won
Over $20M committed to the Makina public sale?No won
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes won
Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale?No won
Over $4M committed to the Makina public sale?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event