Fifa International · resolved market
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe408c7f12fbe2332f86996cc4120d68820901321607ebce33ab52ce1811c74af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 27c | 36,397$9,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,405.97 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbe…87aebacked Yes | 58c | 15,963$9,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,180.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 73c | 14,154$10,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,332.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 12,104$6,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.91 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 27c | 11,587$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,458.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 73c | 11,587$8,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,458.51 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 11,465$5,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,961.17 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 32c | 10,941$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…4925backed No | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,840 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 73c | 7,481$5,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,441.08 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 6,842$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.19 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 56c | 5,494$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.98 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 4,574$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked No | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 27c | 2,680$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.35 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 2,674$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.42 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 42c | 1,999$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.66 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 53c | 1,998$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 29c | 1,651$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.4 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 32c | 1,584$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 1,397$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.16 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 27c | 1,392$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.12 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 58c | 1,359$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.53 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 39c | 1,178$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.57 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 1,130$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.05 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 73c | 1,066$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.26 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 28c | 1,037$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.99 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed No | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…41d4backed Yes | 73c | 1,007$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,005$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.4 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…9e72backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 73c | 995$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.35 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…bc2abacked Yes | 51c | 974.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 58c | 958.79$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.14 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 33c | 788$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.1 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 41c | 728.83$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.82 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…4b27backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 12c | 633.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Yes | 35c | 570.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 563.46$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.97 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…3243backed Yes | 30c | 554.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked Yes | 10c | 550$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 53c | 542.86$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 36c | 524.32$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…ed1abacked Yes | 73c | 503.55$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 30c | 494.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 142 | 26.8%38 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked No | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 70c | 470.05$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe606…081dbacked Yes | 40c | 432.85$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 29c | 421.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…fb8dbacked No | 29c | 383.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 72c | 379$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Yes | 44c | 349.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 34c | 349.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 73c | 336.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…feb3backed Yes | 73c | 291.04$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 23c | 282.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 72c | 280$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…16f8backed No | 79c | 273.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Yes | 73c | 271.23$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 45c | 270$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Yes | 60c | 268.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…615cbacked Yes | 73c | 264.38$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 71c | 257.53$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…5721backed No | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4d23backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 232.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…aed0backed No | 28c | 221.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +298.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…2df7backed Yes | 71c | 220$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…6b5dbacked Yes | 70c | 212.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…3d07backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 72c | 191.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d20…8326backed No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Austria vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.