TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Austria vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed Yes34c12,174$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,052.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+46.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c8,463$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,110.584,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c6,916$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.2735942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c2,877$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No47c2,177$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.051,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3597…bb13backed Yes78c1,397$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes37c1,363$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.544235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes17c1,100$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.4417664.8%114 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe923…0779backed Yes29c1,022$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.411735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No44c1,004$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.8334630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No32c1,002$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.2729343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No67c928.02$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.358538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…4b27backed Yes34c888.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes36c826.17$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.17850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No74c712.41$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.117354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes19c700$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56717240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes19c530.05$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.098936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6c…e935backed Yes33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c438.2$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6555045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No61c435.02$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7913131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0191…93f0backed Yes36c347.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.221533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes33c310$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.725954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x919a…9b3ebacked Yes17c305.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2465827.6%16 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No60c299.64$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.273925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…1443backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes16c287$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0870750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x927d…f9fbbacked No5c204.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No66c200$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3421837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes34c177.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1410629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Yes17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38e…397bbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…00b4backed Yes65c163.89$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.36366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes18c150.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.721,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd32…cb64backed Yes36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.539621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes16c143.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0923622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d7…e451backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes18c139.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed No70c139.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.224946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8916737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.894770.2%33 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c136.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked No13c132.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.341752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed No38c127.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.484839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10030321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No68c120$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.62142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ab…fccebacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3600…606fbacked Yes61c110.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.381145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No67c102.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.947647.4%36 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7032629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b50…d74dbacked Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.54per pick29cpaid+235.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes17c99.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.42433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x943d…7aa1backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes62c92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0818641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes17c89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8778927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked No62c86.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.534751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…6c1dbacked Yes69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.96366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes18c83.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.334520%9 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd6…b883backed Yes18c83.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+249.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes31c81.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8336038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes33c81.82$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8210734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.085532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes14c75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.55343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21e2…c233backed Yes52c74.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No72c69.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3913538.5%52 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Yes66c69.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.73638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes28c65.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5122656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda71…0acebacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+152.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4010868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes36c44.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4416442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b88…731cbacked Yes59c43.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No69c24.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.338145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed No69c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.654535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x07af…a585backed Yes79c23.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.87366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c22.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0828754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No63c21.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.823738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb2…b043backed No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43268.8%22 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Yes67c19.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No77c16.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No63c16.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.259633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d3…3d7abacked No69c15.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.733043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.