NBA · resolved market

Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea42f22f1e1c73d3ace56c1dd47ceb758030c65035c1426cc5635eadf4ee7bf

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $101,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,950 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8465…6cd7backed Yes	19c	2,510$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.94	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x557a…9f70backed Yes	17c	1,572$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.97	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+30%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes	20c	1,484$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.2	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc187…bdf1backed No	79c	1,414$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.94	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9818…7cd3backed No	79c	1,390$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.9	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes	24c	1,324$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.76	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed Yes	17c	1,165$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.05	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74b8…0c87backed Yes	21c	1,097$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.37	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed Yes	17c	1,008$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.36	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed No	76c	969$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.56	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes	58c	965.02$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.36	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes	21c	950$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.5	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed Yes	23c	896$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.08	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed No	77c	896$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.08	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4582…7699backed No	79c	878$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.38	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b7…d913backed Yes	21c	866$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.86	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed Yes	17c	865$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.05	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed Yes	16c	856$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.96	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b8d…24efbacked No	79c	850$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…0cbcbacked No	78c	815$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.05	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb73e…975ebacked Yes	21c	783$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.43	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes	17c	780$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.6	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x63a2…3dfcbacked Yes	21c	774$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.54	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x036f…31a9backed Yes	22c	728$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.16	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed No	77c	726$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.98	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b82…1712backed Yes	21c	720$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6b…b341backed Yes	25c	718$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.5	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…d215backed No	75c	704$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad04…dce5backed Yes	23c	679$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.17	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x546a…1abbbacked No	79c	674$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.54	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed Yes	17c	663$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.71	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfa…4578backed No	79c	656$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.76	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed Yes	18c	645$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.1	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked Yes	17c	644$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.48	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…e7cabacked No	79c	636$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.56	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f5…b461backed No	76c	607$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.68	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes	24c	607$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.68	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes	21c	593$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.53	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	38cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes	12c	575$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc4…4a8ebacked No	79c	566$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.86	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.25per pick	39cpaid	+71.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc758…8153backed Yes	21c	564$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.44	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c5…2dacbacked No	77c	549$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.27	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9720…f4d1backed Yes	16c	536$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.76	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+50.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes	23c	536$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.28	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3aa…bddcbacked Yes	8c	535.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.4	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6789…52f9backed No	78c	518$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.17	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes	37c	507.11$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.74	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de5…d01cbacked Yes	18c	495$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.1	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-75%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdce0…7260backed Yes	17c	495$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.15	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed Yes	17c	477$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.09	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd2b…ebedbacked No	79c	471$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.91	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bfa…3888backed Yes	23c	465$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.95	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8507…7f61backed No	79c	465$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.65	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e9…e33ebacked Yes	8c	462.22$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked No	75c	462.14$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.05	129	41.1%53 W · 76 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed0…0532backed No	79c	462$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.18	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	10c	446$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.45	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd786…857abacked Yes	21c	446$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.66	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked No	77c	436$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.28	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed No	75c	424$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x809c…a50bbacked Yes	7c	414.31$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd77e…83a4backed Yes	22c	406$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.32	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked No	77c	405$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.15	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed Yes	21c	396$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.16	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0af…7ec6backed No	79c	396$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.16	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ed…ec87backed No	79c	392$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.32	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	39cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1617…ec98backed Yes	23c	385$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.55	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe335…cd12backed Yes	16c	380$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes	16c	375$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed Yes	17c	371$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.07	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae98…f0d3backed Yes	20c	367.14$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa71…9767backed Yes	16c	348$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d9…4c53backed Yes	21c	343$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.03	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed Yes	17c	324$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.08	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4348…fa2abacked Yes	6c	323$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9efe…d947backed Yes	11c	313$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.43	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	23c	311.58$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.36	172	33.7%58 W · 114 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x755e…7b04backed Yes	25c	302$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.5	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506a…1b43backed Yes	21c	297$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.37	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed Yes	22c	297$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.34	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	15c	292.32$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.97	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…91dabacked Yes	10c	286.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde9…d705backed Yes	21c	285$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.85	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15b…200fbacked Yes	21c	282$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed No	76c	276$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.24	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b71…f1d9backed Yes	22c	276$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed No	78c	276$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.72	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes	6c	270.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	98	28.6%28 W · 70 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b6…ba85backed No	79c	265$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.65	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+66.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc03…cd5cbacked No	77c	252$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.96	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+77.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes	7c	242$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa756…b167backed Yes	23c	237$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.51	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked No	71c	234$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.26	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes	23c	226$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82e4…fa57backed No	77c	226$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.98	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+97.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c2…5d0ebacked Yes	24c	222.86$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…2648backed No	70c	222$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.6	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	5c	210.09$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+37%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5516…2263backed No	79c	206$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.26	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes	17c	206$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.02	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?this page
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?Yes won
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Yes won
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?No won
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?No won
Will James Harden be traded this season?Yes won
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?Yes won
Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?No won
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?Yes won
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?No won
Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?No won
Will Trae Young be traded this season?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event