NBA · resolved market
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf35d5274d23f6772ed9013f48a2c3f4b8645c841a7e79d112cee8695323e6b84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78cf…6481backed Yes | 25c | 13,977$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 75c | 10,478$7,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.35 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 78c | 6,129$4,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.39 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 68c | 5,900$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 5,473$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.37 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.35 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 43c | 4,015$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.36 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 37c | 3,439$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.95 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 26c | 3,403$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…0b32backed Yes | 32c | 3,155$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 47c | 3,003$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.23 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed No | 79c | 2,954$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.31 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,805$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,424$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.31 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 62c | 2,410$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.1 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 2,277$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.86 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 58c | 1,735$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 31c | 1,715$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 80c | 1,642$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked No | 74c | 1,549$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed No | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.61 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,237$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 22c | 1,218$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 67c | 1,210$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 8c | 1,200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4637backed Yes | 27c | 1,190$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed No | 78c | 1,187$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…22dcbacked No | 52c | 1,164$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 31c | 1,145$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.81 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…5fcebacked Yes | 26c | 1,108$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…a5c2backed No | 56c | 1,060$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 69c | 1,056$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 78c | 1,033$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…482bbacked No | 46c | 1,025$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 38c | 1,008$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.12 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed No | 62c | 985$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…b039backed Yes | 30c | 963.56$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 28c | 903.98$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 61c | 894$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…4069backed No | 52c | 876.19$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed No | 47c | 824.73$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked Yes | 38c | 824$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 71c | 818.08$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e6…909fbacked No | 15c | 778.65$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 44c | 772.73$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 27c | 752$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 58c | 751.14$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.55 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 9c | 750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…3a93backed Yes | 22c | 738$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…f524backed No | 48c | 720.2$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…abccbacked No | 49c | 710.13$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed No | 42c | 703.95$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.78 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 22c | 703$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 22c | 696$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed No | 57c | 692$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…e94cbacked Yes | 15c | 670.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed No | 69c | 661$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed Yes | 46c | 641.3$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 40c | 632$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.19 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e17…3039backed Yes | 48c | 622.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 49c | 620.48$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.75 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 22c | 612$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…68d6backed No | 69c | 607.55$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…1334backed Yes | 25c | 599.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…98babacked Yes | 34c | 593.54$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 31c | 586$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.66 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed No | 78c | 553$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 20c | 551$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 62c | 543.98$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.27 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…f991backed No | 78c | 543$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 78c | 542$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 35c | 540.65$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.79 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 78c | 535$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 22c | 525$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8413…652dbacked No | 44c | 520.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…988fbacked Yes | 51c | 514.05$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 32c | 507.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed No | 58c | 500$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…9948backed Yes | 55c | 495.61$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 79c | 492.71$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 39c | 478$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…0badbacked Yes | 60c | 473.47$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 55c | 470.16$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…bee4backed No | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 22c | 464$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed Yes | 39c | 456$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 80c | 453$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked No | 74c | 444.45$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…3963backed Yes | 56c | 439.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 28c | 437.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed Yes | 26c | 437$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Yes | 26c | 434.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…90ffbacked No | 49c | 423$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 78c | 422$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 31c | 417.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Yes | 64c | 407.01$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?this page
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No won
- Will Ja Morant be traded this season?No won
- Will James Harden be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?No won
- Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?No won
- Will Trae Young be traded this season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.