NBA · resolved market
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd1b488baae6bd0610f07dad595f35adfdd0673b6ae1aa5aeb983f8a614d543f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked No | 0c | 2,966$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked No | 22c | 2,167$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 54c | 2,087$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.64 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed No | 5c | 1,400$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed No | 23c | 1,367$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 22c | 1,365$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 19c | 1,350$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 21c | 1,317$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.34 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed No | 23c | 1,288$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 15c | 1,267$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 23c | 1,231$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.13 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed No | 4c | 1,200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked No | 22c | 1,158$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked No | 67c | 1,132$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed No | 23c | 1,078$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 77c | 966$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 38c | 954$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.22 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 13c | 922$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4637backed Yes | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked No | 4c | 899.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…79bcbacked Yes | 77c | 887.4$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 14c | 871$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 77c | 837$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.51 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed No | 22c | 823$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed Yes | 79c | 802$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 77c | 799$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 78c | 785$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 23c | 783$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No | 17c | 723.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed Yes | 78c | 721$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes | 77c | 707$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 10c | 705.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked No | 8c | 700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked No | 23c | 696$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 23c | 689$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 77c | 685$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…68d6backed No | 22c | 684.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 77c | 683$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 23c | 681$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked No | 23c | 681$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 22c | 677$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 23c | 662$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed No | 18c | 659$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed Yes | 78c | 655$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed No | 14c | 639$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 22c | 638$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 77c | 628$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 14c | 609$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 77c | 601$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 77c | 601$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked Yes | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 79c | 584$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked Yes | 41c | 581.41$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes | 77c | 576$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked No | 13c | 566$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 77c | 559$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked Yes | 78c | 558$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 49c | 550$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked Yes | 78c | 527$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 78c | 522$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 23c | 517$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 77c | 515$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed Yes | 77c | 512$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 77c | 510$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 20c | 507$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked Yes | 77c | 505$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 22c | 501$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked No | 22c | 498$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 49c | 495$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 77c | 492$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 32c | 490.41$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 78c | 490$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 22c | 483$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 19c | 473$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 23c | 461$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 23c | 439$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed No | 21c | 438$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +105%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 46c | 438$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed Yes | 77c | 434$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked No | 14c | 434$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…22dcbacked No | 48c | 431.48$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 77c | 429$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 14c | 428$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed No | 23c | 425$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed No | 23c | 418$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes | 77c | 418$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…d368backed Yes | 77c | 416$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 14c | 411$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 77c | 407$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked No | 23c | 394$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 20c | 391.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 77c | 391$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 77c | 388$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 77c | 382$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 12c | 380.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Yes | 65c | 380$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed No | 14c | 379$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?this page
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?No won
- Will Ja Morant be traded this season?No won
- Will James Harden be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?No won
- Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?No won
- Will Trae Young be traded this season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.