NBA · resolved market
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf632902e52f38ae5adab1479f72c9ad4350513cefa0b55402929bb68ee6c3c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 1,844$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.56 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed No | 61c | 1,558$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 60c | 1,513$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.29 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…28d0backed Yes | 38c | 1,383$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed No | 49c | 1,330$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed Yes | 41c | 1,324$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 26c | 1,323$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.45 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Yes | 41c | 1,247$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed No | 62c | 1,210$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 41c | 1,172$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.29 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 48c | 1,167$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.58 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed Yes | 41c | 1,116$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed No | 57c | 1,085$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked No | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,054$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.85 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 48c | 1,037$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked No | 60c | 1,001$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.3 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked No | 2c | 999.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 51c | 999$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.71 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes | 43c | 993$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 27c | 948$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.76 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 13c | 936$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.84 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 51c | 904$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…5ea0backed Yes | 39c | 874$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed Yes | 39c | 871$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 51c | 862$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.38 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 52c | 853$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 50c | 838.02$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.47 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 59c | 832$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 42c | 827$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 47c | 826.01$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 51c | 812$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed Yes | 50c | 811$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed Yes | 38c | 790$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 61c | 785$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…560cbacked Yes | 35c | 778.38$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked No | 61c | 769$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 58c | 769$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 39c | 758$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed Yes | 41c | 754$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 49c | 752$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.48 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 51c | 752$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…c5f8backed Yes | 66c | 745.54$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 59c | 723$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 49c | 721$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.29 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked Yes | 39c | 720$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 62c | 715$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked No | 61c | 710$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 39c | 709$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked No | 58c | 704$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Yes | 60c | 700$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 48c | 696$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.08 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…3dfcbacked No | 60c | 691$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 52c | 686$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 49c | 684$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…d7b7backed Yes | 42c | 681.52$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.66 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 39c | 680$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed No | 61c | 679$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed No | 62c | 674$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 59c | 670$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b7d3backed No | 62c | 666$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked Yes | 41c | 655$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed Yes | 51c | 650$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 77c | 649.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed No | 49c | 647$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.03 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 42c | 634$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 48c | 627$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 48c | 624$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed No | 50c | 618$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed Yes | 39c | 617$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed No | 49c | 607$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 51c | 604$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes | 39c | 597$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 49c | 589$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 48c | 581$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 49c | 576$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed No | 61c | 574$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes | 42c | 571$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed Yes | 41c | 561$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +105%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked No | 59c | 560$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed Yes | 39c | 558$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 42c | 551.8$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.8 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 43c | 546.56$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 39c | 536$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 39c | 536$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 49c | 533$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.17 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 39c | 529$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed Yes | 42c | 527$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked No | 62c | 522$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed Yes | 51c | 518$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…2eefbacked Yes | 19c | 516.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 39c | 512$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…1334backed Yes | 54c | 506.44$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed Yes | 51c | 499$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed Yes | 42c | 494$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed No | 58c | 492$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 485.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.14 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed Yes | 27c | 482.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?this page
- Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?No won
- Will Ja Morant be traded this season?No won
- Will James Harden be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?Yes won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?No won
- Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?Yes won
- Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?No won
- Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges be traded this season?No won
- Will Trae Young be traded this season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.