NFL · resolved market
Stefon Diggs suspended this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02110ccd025517af92b569bd99b1ddfbb362b9fb2377613465b4ade03d30c962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 14c | 1,366$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,160$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,101$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,078$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 14c | 857$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 13c | 711$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 14c | 673$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 14c | 632$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 14c | 598$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 14c | 592$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed Yes | 14c | 580$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked Yes | 14c | 547$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 14c | 498$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 14c | 470$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 7c | 459.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Yes | 14c | 442$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…41c2backed Yes | 17c | 440$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked Yes | 13c | 428$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 14c | 421$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 14c | 414$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…acc9backed Yes | 12c | 413.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 14c | 376$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 14c | 337$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 14c | 327$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 14c | 320$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 14c | 256$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 14c | 221$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 14c | 206$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 14c | 197$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 13c | 177$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 35c | 169$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 14c | 165$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed Yes | 14c | 157$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 80c | 123$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 14c | 119$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked Yes | 14c | 119$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 96.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…f935backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…f11fbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked No | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.