Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d5159ff8a83796519c2f3d5d0434d8d827062cfb8e6908a995fe628bb99838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $434,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 27c | 98,262$26,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,530.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 73c | 68,490$49,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,492.21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Yes | 67c | 30,348$20,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,014.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 34c | 16,607$5,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.22 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 35c | 14,600$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yes | 73c | 13,699$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.63 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 11c | 13,412$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.44 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 73c | 9,000$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 77c | 6,480$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.36 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 28c | 5,100$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 33c | 5,052$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.6 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 23c | 4,518$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.03 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed No | 33c | 3,068$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.19 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 65c | 3,063$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.85 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…76b4backed No | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 33c | 2,981$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.86 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yes | 65c | 2,554$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked Yes | 73c | 2,500$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 78c | 2,454$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.96 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 2,020$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.42 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Yes | 73c | 1,903$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 24c | 1,620$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.62 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 38c | 1,479$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.86 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 33c | 1,465$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.44 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked No | 29c | 1,459$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Yes | 71c | 1,456$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 70c | 1,146$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.69 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,038$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.24 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…eea6backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 26c | 999.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 67c | 981.56$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 36c | 943.97$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.87 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 73c | 821$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…a1afbacked Yes | 73c | 805.48$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked No | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…ab01backed Yes | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 34c | 776$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 73c | 764.38$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 73c | 720.55$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 77c | 697$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.56 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 74c | 678.86$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a68…57bfbacked No | 34c | 675$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed No | 34c | 667.43$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 27c | 629.43$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 70c | 623.29$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 8c | 613.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 66c | 610$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Yes | 66c | 605$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +151.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…b992backed Yes | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 31c | 584.92$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 73c | 550$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Yes | 67c | 537.31$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…3038backed Yes | 73c | 515.07$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 71c | 473.49$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 73c | 460$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 35c | 452.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 34c | 439.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 34c | 392.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 74c | 385.14$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 63c | 380.33$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 66c | 377.27$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 34c | 347.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbc…1054backed No | 34c | 325$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…3880backed Yes | 66c | 295$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…65e2backed Yes | 72c | 287.21$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 67c | 279.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Yes | 77c | 270$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…a102backed Yes | 66c | 265$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Yes | 73c | 252.07$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…365bbacked Yes | 66c | 236.09$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4e…2f37backed Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 28c | 230.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…d553backed Yes | 74c | 220$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…da0cbacked No | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 33c | 199.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 69c | 191.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 8c | 185.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…92f4backed Yes | 72c | 176$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…3e89backed No | 28c | 176$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…7a5ebacked Yes | 66c | 175$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…50b0backed No | 29c | 171.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes | 73c | 169.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…28a4backed Yes | 71c | 166.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 72c | 166.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3c…974fbacked Yes | 66c | 165$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-20?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.