Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c17bdafd74e61f9fc5a9254a89f9de56f3456568311055e1e8fe3ad90bc12cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Upof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Down | 42c | 10,858$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,591.3 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Up | 56c | 3,714$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.01 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Up | 69c | 2,440$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.1 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Down | 15c | 2,392$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.27 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Down | 2c | 2,063$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…e95bbacked Up | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Down | 19c | 1,906$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Up | 65c | 1,785$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Down | 40c | 1,505$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.13 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Up | 61c | 1,290$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.99 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Up | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Up | 68c | 1,051$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…3a5abacked Up | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Up | 63c | 773.03$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…a468backed Up | 67c | 739.85$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Up | 61c | 728.25$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.67 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Down | 35c | 622.5$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…506bbacked Up | 66c | 607$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…aa17backed Up | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…8aa6backed Up | 61c | 562.07$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Down | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed Down | 16c | 482.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…a6dabacked Down | 5c | 452.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Down | 31c | 451.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…40d8backed Down | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Down | 33c | 395.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…9448backed Up | 66c | 393$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Up | 56c | 385.75$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.66 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…d52dbacked Down | 37c | 372.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…2401backed Up | 78c | 361.78$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…fc36backed Up | 69c | 353.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked Down | 34c | 331.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…0c80backed Up | 74c | 300.28$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Down | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Down | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…c745backed Up | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…6713backed Up | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked Up | 55c | 288.4$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Up | 42c | 286.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a57…9299backed Down | 33c | 274.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e11…6a5abacked Down | 21c | 266.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Up | 65c | 246.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…fec3backed Down | 32c | 237.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked Down | 25c | 230.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Down | 9c | 223.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Up | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…b2a5backed Up | 72c | 219.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Down | 36c | 217.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…a5ebbacked Down | 11c | 213.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Up | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfca…bcdabacked Up | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed Up | 59c | 196.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…a7c9backed Up | 65c | 192.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Down | 53c | 190.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed Up | 70c | 139.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe146…60a9backed Down | 17c | 137.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…7466backed Up | 68c | 130.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Down | 31c | 117.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Down | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Down | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 1,051 | 34.7%365 W · 686 L | -93.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…f11fbacked Up | 68c | 101$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc3…a1b0backed Up | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…112dbacked Down | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…ecfabacked Up | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…258fbacked Up | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3249…fdd3backed Up | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Down | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed Up | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…9c2dbacked Up | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…b2eebacked Down | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…b7eebacked Up | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…b236backed Up | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed76…8520backed Down | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…0fe9backed Down | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…0c87backed Up | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Down | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…f96fbacked Up | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Up | 69c | 97.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Up | 42c | 95.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Down | 30c | 94.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6bf7backed Down | 32c | 88.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…63ddbacked Up | 65c | 74.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Down | 45c | 71.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…203bbacked Up | 64c | 69.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018b…5372backed Up | 79c | 62.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…404ebacked Up | 62c | 55.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…60fbbacked Up | 77c | 50.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…5b78backed Down | 23c | 50.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Up | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…b14fbacked Up | 47c | 40.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…23f6backed Up | 45c | 35.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Up | 55c | 35.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…fd1dbacked Up | 60c | 32.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…a340backed Up | 65c | 29.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…50e4backed Up | 76c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d0…0c6bbacked Up | 61c | 24.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefea…9f70backed Up | 68c | 19.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.