TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc88…b7ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.65
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+101%+$20.1
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.19
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$43.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.1%+$42.2
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.68
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.56
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.6%+$97
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-77.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX list on the NASDAQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.