AI · resolved market
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x704a7b123805bc24337695f260c664effc8135bfb294336c6415958ab9ceeb77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $767,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $683,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…d899backed No | 11c | 62,443$6,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,856.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…b3a7backed No | 0c | 45,651$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…a0e7backed No | 10c | 24,420$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.57 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd4…8bf9backed No | 2c | 13,009$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e537backed No | 3c | 11,995$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…b515backed No | 9c | 11,836$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 10c | 10,009$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.68 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…bf91backed No | 8c | 8,446$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…5fe2backed Yes | 73c | 8,338$6,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed No | 8c | 6,179$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 5,850$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…4f0ebacked No | 15c | 5,680$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb8…7b06backed No | 2c | 5,615$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed No | 9c | 5,579$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…981dbacked No | 9c | 5,399$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2188…7a8dbacked No | 14c | 4,592$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…01bfbacked No | 4c | 4,182$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed No | 10c | 4,155$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7947…3dc0backed No | 15c | 4,035$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 16c | 3,814$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…f600backed No | 1c | 3,525$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…6b0dbacked No | 1c | 3,515$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ceedbacked No | 12c | 3,403$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked No | 6c | 3,163$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 3,048$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.47 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…6133backed No | 10c | 2,885$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 2,709$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…cf79backed No | 9c | 2,571$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…5eefbacked No | 13c | 2,532$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed No | 7c | 2,517$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…1f29backed No | 6c | 2,499$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed No | 11c | 2,399$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked No | 7c | 2,376$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +779%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…5b3cbacked No | 9c | 2,235$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed No | 9c | 2,218$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 76c | 2,200$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed No | 7c | 2,156$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…cf0cbacked No | 1c | 2,060$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…fb27backed No | 9c | 2,023$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…5413backed No | 8c | 2,011$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed No | 11c | 1,947$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…9a7cbacked No | 8c | 1,941$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 16c | 1,822$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 17c | 1,777$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.94 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b06…2b90backed No | 9c | 1,575$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 43c | 1,566$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 22c | 1,550$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…6939backed No | 3c | 1,471$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…53a4backed No | 4c | 1,446$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed No | 10c | 1,445$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 4c | 1,441$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 78c | 1,428$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked No | 6c | 1,416$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed No | 5c | 1,385$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…9a3fbacked No | 12c | 1,310$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…8092backed No | 9c | 1,262$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…5ef7backed No | 11c | 1,261$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…b6d4backed No | 11c | 1,254$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…2eb1backed No | 5c | 1,251$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…49d4backed No | 7c | 1,224$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…8c12backed No | 17c | 1,204$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…d9adbacked No | 10c | 1,177$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…467fbacked No | 12c | 1,168$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…f9f9backed No | 9c | 1,150$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…7458backed No | 2c | 1,127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…9074backed No | 8c | 1,122$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…0ddcbacked No | 20c | 1,108$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…2510backed No | 9c | 1,054$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…9c2bbacked No | 13c | 1,049$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d83…f9f7backed No | 9c | 1,033$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…7d2cbacked No | 18c | 1,024$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…f0e7backed No | 12c | 1,019$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4f41backed No | 7c | 1,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…66bbbacked No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 9c | 982.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked No | 11c | 972.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a1…3da9backed No | 14c | 907.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…d09cbacked No | 12c | 897.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…2c66backed No | 10c | 891.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…3749backed No | 16c | 884.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 10c | 852.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…8e92backed No | 7c | 830.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 12c | 805$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…b294backed No | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6bf7backed No | 18c | 766.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed No | 39c | 735.55$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…f9f7backed No | 4c | 720.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 37c | 709.94$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 24c | 704.54$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked No | 12c | 699.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 10c | 698$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 27c | 693.53$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 10c | 688.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd329…a401backed No | 10c | 666.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32a…50d1backed No | 7c | 648.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 14c | 632.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 612$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?this page
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 14, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 19, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 29, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 30, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.