World Politics · resolved market
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64f92fc880b030bc9c48f66b8a0d42b03b59c84db894bfcceedf94e4e683f214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed Yes | 74c | 6,588$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 49c | 4,082$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 28c | 3,239$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.92 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 58c | 2,970$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 18c | 2,050$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.85 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…eb83backed Yes | 28c | 1,519$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 69c | 900$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.6 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 10c | 878.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 819.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.41 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 11c | 814.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +205.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 21c | 760$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…8a69backed Yes | 18c | 736.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 12cpaid | +245.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 15c | 585.28$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 20c | 508$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 75c | 479.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.19 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…b7eebacked Yes | 31c | 400$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 357.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 79c | 313.97$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 300$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…db9fbacked Yes | 34c | 260.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 29c | 220$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 14c | 193.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 178.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…100abacked No | 79c | 167.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 18c | 159.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 19c | 137$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 27c | 135.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 19c | 133.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…7555backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1125…7a78backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…e64ebacked Yes | 17c | 71.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…f9adbacked Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed No | 75c | 63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…4730backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 59c | 60.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 46c | 57.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 78c | 52.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…18dcbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b0…5897backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0f43backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…68ffbacked No | 78c | 32.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 26.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 61c | 24.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…7018backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac8…5063backed No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb086…a779backed Yes | 78c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?this page
- U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.