Middle East · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9010a5a60ac26fda9ce84dd307eec73fd6495595db016da4903144dcf8a846f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaabb…fa95backed No | 24c | 2,080$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 17c | 1,882$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.94 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +102%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 49c | 1,698$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc88…45d4backed Yes | 73c | 1,556$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd2…c1d8backed Yes | 67c | 1,202$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +320.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked No | 6c | 1,050$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…d3adbacked No | 6c | 1,050$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 45c | 1,032$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.16 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 15c | 973.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed No | 41c | 959$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 25c | 899.89$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.09 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5c…288abacked Yes | 47c | 875.42$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed No | 12c | 750$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…236abacked No | 12c | 750$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…397ebacked Yes | 74c | 709.69$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed No | 13c | 650$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +12.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f94…7d96backed No | 41c | 583.22$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…b990backed Yes | 51c | 510.81$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…6eb3backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +196.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked Yes | 59c | 490$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 21c | 454.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 48c | 359$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…9788backed Yes | 78c | 320.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425c…2681backed No | 49c | 303.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked Yes | 75c | 261.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…589ebacked Yes | 59c | 257$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 54c | 251.52$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked No | 26c | 240.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Yes | 59c | 237$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 69c | 229.47$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…3b4bbacked No | 45c | 220.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 196.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed No | 47c | 154.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -8.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…3d3abacked No | 18c | 139.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c35…afa8backed Yes | 53c | 138.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 73c | 137.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 118$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 27c | 117.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…87adbacked No | 40c | 110.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 106.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…1da9backed No | 40c | 101.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c3…00c8backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…b7eebacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…02d1backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 74c | 92.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed No | 52c | 86.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 75c | 83.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…353fbacked No | 50c | 79.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…aadcbacked No | 68c | 73.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…97a5backed No | 51c | 68.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 68.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0671…962dbacked Yes | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +210.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 51c | 65.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 48c | 61.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | -12.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 58c | 60.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…916fbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 69c | 58.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 71c | 50.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 45c | 49.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 65c | 47.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 44c | 43.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…c297backed No | 26c | 38.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 57c | 35.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -10.3wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed Yes | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 39c | 30.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 74c | 29.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 42c | 27.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…1d2bbacked No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…d832backed No | 40c | 25.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…2361backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…fa2bbacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 55c | 24.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed No | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed Yes | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3b…6b17backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d20bbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 72c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?this page
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.