TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fc4…a340

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
Jonathan David: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$56.39
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.7
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$16
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$31
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$20.45
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.17
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$90.2
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.17
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$13.76
All 7 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$10.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.22
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$44.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$4.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.