Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c6b34c5eb5b18a1bb434366e0d80c4e0418a729d479c590b09c40d9997de38c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Upof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7b8…0d21backed Down | 35c | 10,235$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.35 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Up | 54c | 9,400$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.07 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Down | 47c | 8,851$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.42 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Up | 61c | 7,732$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.98 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Up | 76c | 6,539$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…48a5backed Up | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Up | 55c | 5,299$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.17 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…86c6backed Down | 64c | 5,153$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…60c5backed Down | 11c | 4,755$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Down | 41c | 3,997$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.04 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf64…bf7dbacked Down | 51c | 3,789$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Down | 1c | 3,576$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Down | 31c | 2,856$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.94 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Down | 29c | 2,832$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.02 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Down | 27c | 2,187$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.49 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Down | 35c | 2,162$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.03 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Up | 50c | 2,113$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.17 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Down | 35c | 1,656$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.69 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Down | 18c | 1,495$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.46 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…8933backed Down | 30c | 1,400$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Up | 38c | 1,291$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccb…a7a0backed Up | 28c | 1,113$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Down | 62c | 1,090$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.21 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Down | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Up | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Up | 58c | 850.03$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.22 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…bc25backed Up | 78c | 831.59$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f48…a145backed Up | 42c | 769.23$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…23f6backed Down | 57c | 738.4$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…fd8dbacked Down | 10c | 699.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4016…4623backed Down | 33c | 602$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…e2b1backed Down | 33c | 602$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Up | 43c | 505.45$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Down | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…e3f0backed Down | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Up | 68c | 351.56$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…8527backed Up | 52c | 349.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…d979backed Down | 29c | 349.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…c697backed Up | 26c | 333$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Down | 52c | 312.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…9244backed Up | 59c | 310$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Down | 57c | 310$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Up | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…7e6cbacked Up | 36c | 257.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Up | 48c | 252.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…bdb6backed Down | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…4567backed Down | 16c | 231.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…276dbacked Down | 26c | 219.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Down | 19c | 215.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Up | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Down | 72c | 207.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed Down | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Down | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76f…7d65backed Down | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Up | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Up | 40c | 198.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed Up | 53c | 189.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Down | 42c | 183.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Down | 14c | 178.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2a2cbacked Up | 60c | 178.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…55dfbacked Up | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…27b4backed Up | 64c | 171.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed Down | 61c | 164.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…404ebacked Down | 56c | 151.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…c63dbacked Down | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…a340backed Up | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…7bfcbacked Down | 29c | 141.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Up | 50c | 141.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…edb0backed Up | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…5131backed Up | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Down | 40c | 125.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 365 | 50.4%184 W · 181 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…71fcbacked Down | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…b2b0backed Down | 26c | 115.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bb…1b2fbacked Down | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…34f6backed Up | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed Up | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Down | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…0236backed Up | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Up | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Down | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…5f76backed Down | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed Up | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +184%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…9603backed Down | 33c | 98.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Up | 76c | 93.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Down | 56c | 87.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Up | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed Down | 59c | 74.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Up | 75c | 74.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Up | 62c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Up | 41c | 64.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…e55dbacked Up | 53c | 59.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4cc7backed Down | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed Down | 39c | 44.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…4f4abacked Up | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…50e4backed Up | 56c | 35.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…344abacked Up | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…77dbbacked Down | 35c | 32.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…ef14backed Up | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…f6d8backed Up | 55c | 29.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x082d…e528backed Up | 47c | 27.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.