Us Politics · resolved market
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05856dd8d47a2b4a98d86e9863a7276b42ff099c79cda62467bd6d737907e7d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x069b…f8b8backed No | 38c | 51,833$19,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,696.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…c44ebacked Yes | 62c | 51,833$32,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,696.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…ebdcbacked Yes | 66c | 24,356$16,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,281.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…d302backed No | 34c | 24,356$8,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,281.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 9,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed No | 16c | 6,281$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked No | 7c | 5,849$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…db96backed No | 3c | 5,457$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…2690backed No | 0c | 3,505$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 75c | 2,756$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.16 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…9b56backed No | 18c | 2,224$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 34c | 2,000$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 66c | 1,680$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.52 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 10c | 1,398$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…d115backed No | 40c | 1,254$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0f…6597backed No | 8c | 1,205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…e3e1backed No | 22c | 1,188$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b3…310ebacked No | 9c | 1,117$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…e97cbacked No | 5c | 1,072$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 17c | 926.84$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 10c | 875.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…ee7abacked Yes | 80c | 819.47$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 14c | 751.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…d124backed Yes | 74c | 723.48$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 7c | 722.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 696.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f53…6a54backed No | 7c | 684.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked No | 14c | 661.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 31c | 615.74$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9944…0735backed No | 17c | 586.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…5039backed No | 5c | 571.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 6c | 544.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 66c | 529.68$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…b6f3backed No | 4c | 472.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 7c | 461$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 19c | 443.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 15c | 440.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 23c | 435.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 433.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 18c | 419.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…0042backed Yes | 62c | 401.87$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 33c | 345.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…d8c9backed No | 17c | 290$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 22c | 286.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…1df2backed No | 14c | 269.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…0f36backed No | 9c | 262.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…78b9backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…37d9backed Yes | 68c | 187.15$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 11c | 173.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 16c | 173.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…d869backed No | 12c | 161.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…e039backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d6…710fbacked No | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 11c | 129.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 28c | 125.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa061…cd76backed Yes | 70c | 92.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…1b45backed No | 20c | 75.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…dbd4backed Yes | 64c | 62.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 76c | 61.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 79c | 51.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…b9cdbacked No | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…e13ebacked No | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94db…4f6fbacked No | 33c | 46.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 72c | 45.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa897…09fabacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…81c0backed Yes | 76c | 36.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…ed09backed Yes | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…7febbacked Yes | 68c | 26.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…2640backed Yes | 80c | 26.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…f11fbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked Yes | 72c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5249…ce82backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 59c | 18.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…c5babacked Yes | 67c | 16.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb3…111abacked Yes | 80c | 15.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…bf99backed Yes | 80c | 14.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.