College Football · resolved market
Will Ohio State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34c8a14a5ebfb98dbfc402abf59ac6aa1165971137fa8f308455f200e4f0ca2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 702.6$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.61 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 66c | 666.54$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 37c | 334.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Yes | 57c | 257.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…4c5abacked Yes | 67c | 186.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 60c | 64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -8.5wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes | 60c | 46.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 38c | 39.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a8…432cbacked Yes | 62c | 32.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 29.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 44c | 27.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 59c | 26.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…f11fbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?this page
- Will Indiana win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?Yes won
- Will Minnesota win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?No won
- Will Penn State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?No won
- Will Purdue win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?No won
- Will Rutgers win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?No won
- Will UCLA win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.