TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-02-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed No26c8,366$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.3921037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No3c4,280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5420948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes74c3,495$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.785754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No25c3,392$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.7939842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes74c3,208$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.7736851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes75c2,608$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6521553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No28c2,050$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57440222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No26c1,175$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4944955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes74c999.98$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26012862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71bd…50d2backed Yes72c875$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes74c785.81$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.144143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No24c702.17$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5224742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5502…207ebacked Yes74c649.46$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd361…3885backed Yes75c599$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.751330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+80.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No25c588$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8846956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No26c479.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7316836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No26c434.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7612359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No26c400.57$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.153145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10411443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes71c399.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11612956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No27c398.8$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.642313%3 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No7c360.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9530754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes76c357.54$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes75c332.74$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.672958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No10c331.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9810040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed Yes75c287.36$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.841668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f37…5b70backed No27c275.26$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8eb1…cf90backed No29c247.24$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe39b…67e6backed Yes74c229.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.731855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b5…f69fbacked No30c223.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No25c200.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4338356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd14f…d46dbacked Yes75c200.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.022250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked No26c198.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.584158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3792…dc66backed Yes74c188.8$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Yes74c149.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.93946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Yes75c139.13$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+72.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1518…74d0backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Yes76c136.71$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.814639.1%18 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c41…97c1backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3318650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes76c131.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.614740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0f…addabacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf3…c359backed Yes73c130.14$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb36a…6814backed Yes73c123.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes74c119.12$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.972347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde93…bef4backed Yes74c115.93$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.141070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed95…d87fbacked Yes73c102.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No25c99.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked No26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cb…8d1ebacked Yes74c87.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5283…8befbacked Yes74c86.47$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745d…bcf3backed Yes73c86.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63d3…046fbacked Yes73c85.07$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…a00fbacked Yes74c83.24$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad0…8d6dbacked Yes73c82.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Yes74c74.23$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.32951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd1…738ebacked Yes73c73.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae4…3288backed Yes73c71.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cc…0d55backed Yes73c71.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff2…6714backed Yes74c71.35$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa718…8eb5backed Yes73c71.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes75c66.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8224455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No17c61.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4313232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb5b…0037backed Yes74c53.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2997…fb06backed Yes74c53.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+117.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65cc…b944backed Yes73c52.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No26c39.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.397846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No26c39.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…78a7backed Yes73c36.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36a…2590backed Yes74c34.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.06540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed1…7757backed Yes73c32.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1887…d066backed Yes73c32.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17c9…c9acbacked Yes74c31.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x933f…181dbacked Yes73c31.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda66…339abacked Yes73c29.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe858…70b9backed Yes73c28.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x542b…f11fbacked Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02d…1ed1backed Yes74c26.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9f…6d7fbacked Yes73c26.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c6…6cdebacked Yes73c25.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…64cabacked Yes73c24.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Yes75c24.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes75c24.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.049538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5769…a5dabacked Yes75c23.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488d…6dbcbacked Yes74c23.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70d…f59fbacked Yes73c23.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…5f39backed Yes74c23.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+47.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c8f…1f7abacked Yes73c23.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d9…f8f5backed Yes74c22.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e8…2e6dbacked Yes75c22.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.542356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…e444backed Yes73c22.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+104%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf546…de65backed Yes73c21.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1e…c2f9backed Yes74c21.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.