La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc34995eeec887e73dfb5c5b8ef44a55753cf56f695c6fda8094fe9e85a5e2d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,069,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,143,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,069,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 21c | 792,503$162,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,514.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 79c | 349,165$277,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,033.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 80c | 262,510$208,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,611.08 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 72c | 54,445$39,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,135.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 79c | 47,600$37,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,996 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 79c | 37,500$29,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,715 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 80c | 25,429$20,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 19c | 24,345$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 80c | 20,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 80c | 17,500$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 80c | 17,000$13,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 20c | 8,185$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.08 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 80c | 7,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 20c | 7,481$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 21c | 7,323$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 78c | 6,711$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 80c | 5,422$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…ab67backed No | 18c | 5,317$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 21c | 4,921$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.6 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 19c | 3,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.97 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 21c | 3,292$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.37 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…bff5backed Yes | 79c | 3,163$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 20c | 3,050$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed No | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…9860backed No | 19c | 2,572$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…2a30backed No | 19c | 2,552$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 27c | 2,083$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 12c | 2,009$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 19c | 1,938$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.37 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,834$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.22 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 22c | 1,761$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 21c | 1,502$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.41 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 80c | 1,450$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 18c | 1,117$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 80c | 1,061$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 7c | 1,050$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.97 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 80c | 998.62$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 76c | 870.06$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 80c | 853$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.6 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 80c | 827.9$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed No | 21c | 728.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Yes | 79c | 631.67$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…c518backed Yes | 79c | 624.82$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked No | 19c | 619.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Yes | 80c | 605.77$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 19c | 458.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Yes | 80c | 440.24$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 79c | 406$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 80c | 404.59$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 80c | 375.74$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 80c | 371.25$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…bee1backed Yes | 79c | 329.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…c8d8backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 80c | 290$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 80c | 284.46$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb8…9177backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 23c | 242$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 80c | 239.63$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 19c | 219.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…c98dbacked Yes | 80c | 218.75$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171d…0663backed Yes | 73c | 185.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…aa4bbacked No | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…b334backed Yes | 80c | 170.46$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Yes | 80c | 155.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…372dbacked Yes | 80c | 153.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…ff04backed Yes | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 19c | 135.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 24c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yes | 79c | 126.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…438abacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…6960backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 80c | 121.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…c7b5backed No | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…5144backed Yes | 80c | 103.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?this page
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-19?No won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Osasuna end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.