Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x452e20d1071741f6895759aa298380fbb7fecb46fd10c20c4e2b13d86fbb67c6

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $97,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $103,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,640 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x413a…0008backed No	4c	21,942$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.69	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	1c	5,755$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.03	253	29.2%74 W · 179 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x285b…f3d3backed No	1c	1,523$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c11…778fbacked No	1c	1,449$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.33	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	2c	1,398$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.82	203	7.4%15 W · 188 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	14c	1,366$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.27	208	19.2%40 W · 168 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc062…cc13backed No	1c	1,179$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.34	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No	2c	1,156$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No	1c	1,031$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x955a…3ea2backed No	2c	666.65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	3c	655.01$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	68c	579.47$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.07	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed No	38c	524$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…c57fbacked No	3c	298$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9957…8efabacked No	5c	287$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc84f…d798backed No	28c	177.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed No	29c	171.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	74c	162.13$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.15	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked No	28c	134.64$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.22	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c74…d2d4backed Yes	74c	129.99$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.8	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked No	24c	119.89$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.97	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Yes	75c	105$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.25	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	204	25%51 W · 153 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad1…4df4backed No	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f26…1b9abacked Yes	79c	90.78$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.06	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes	60c	81.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.55	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed No	25c	80.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No	25c	64$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90a7…13b5backed Yes	79c	59.2$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542b…f11fbacked Yes	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes	72c	28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.94	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4722…d357backed Yes	74c	26.87$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.87	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Yes	63c	21.15$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.83	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No	57c	19.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x031e…d91fbacked Yes	76c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event