Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x000ad402ae645de41d4bc23198cd4c84d6e38ab2c007995031c320248e2d55c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc617…7a30backed Yes | 0c | 19,045$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 17,216$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8841…6c9abacked Yes | 0c | 12,503$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…6243backed Yes | 1c | 10,700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4f…619dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,990$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…ae13backed Yes | 1c | 7,990$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5756…2851backed Yes | 1c | 7,970$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…6190backed Yes | 1c | 7,970$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…07f9backed Yes | 1c | 7,931$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…49fabacked Yes | 1c | 7,835$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d5…f9e8backed Yes | 1c | 7,835$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…2fa7backed Yes | 1c | 7,731$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…79f7backed Yes | 0c | 3,140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…a772backed Yes | 1c | 1,781$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7222…4f43backed Yes | 2c | 1,435$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…1eaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,122$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?this page
- Will Arsenal be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Aston Villa be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Bournemouth be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Brentford be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Brighton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes won
- Will Chelsea be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Everton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Fulham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Liverpool be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Man City be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.