Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf651a32843a38a41399a951ce4adf6b309e8b73c5293db0137b14dce72863e90

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $226,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $471,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,814 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7222…4f43backed Yes	1c	8,076$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes	0c	6,254$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa64d…776dbacked Yes	2c	3,112$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98e8…7eb3backed Yes	2c	1,640$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc91…3997backed Yes	2c	1,584$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7ffbacked Yes	2c	1,182$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	22c	585.93$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.27	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	575.05$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	203	7.4%15 W · 188 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	2c	569.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	78c	535.86$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.49	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	73c	500.97$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.29	208	19.2%40 W · 168 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes	10c	494$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.89	123	24.4%30 W · 93 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes	4c	351.36$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	76c	219$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.44	138	32.6%45 W · 93 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes	25c	200.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	272	27.9%76 W · 196 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf185…1bd1backed Yes	25c	200$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	24c	44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event