Fifa International · resolved market
Concacaf Gold Cup: USA vs. Costa Rica (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e0d6a89d3e06936c4157028e67459be1d9302d7e5fc3eb0f4f4a63f2283fb78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USA of USA , Costa Rica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Costa Rica | 21c | 27,621$5,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,737.63 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed USA | 80c | 14,469$11,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed USA | 78c | 8,552$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.02 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked USA | 80c | 7,920$6,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Costa Rica | 27c | 6,114$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.51 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Costa Rica | 1c | 5,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed USA | 50c | 4,887$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked USA | 72c | 3,822$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.15 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Costa Rica | 21c | 3,542$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.06 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Costa Rica | 36c | 3,106$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.8 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed USA | 75c | 2,800$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed USA | 50c | 2,350$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed USA | 77c | 1,558$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Costa Rica | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Costa Rica | 41c | 1,222$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Costa Rica | 6c | 1,113$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed USA | 76c | 1,000$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Costa Rica | 23c | 891.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Costa Rica | 23c | 792$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.96 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked Costa Rica | 18c | 790.51$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked USA | 73c | 738.37$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Costa Rica | 26c | 704$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Costa Rica | 21c | 595$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked USA | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed USA | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked USA | 77c | 422.37$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Costa Rica | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Costa Rica | 22c | 383.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed USA | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked USA | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked USA | 77c | 379.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Costa Rica | 29c | 377.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked USA | 46c | 303$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Costa Rica | 23c | 223.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Costa Rica | 17c | 215.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed USA | 48c | 208.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Costa Rica | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Costa Rica | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Costa Rica | 23c | 198$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed USA | 75c | 182.3$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed USA | 77c | 167$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Costa Rica | 24c | 145.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked USA | 77c | 130.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Costa Rica | 27c | 128.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed USA | 78c | 128.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed USA | 70c | 125.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Costa Rica | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Costa Rica | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed Costa Rica | 22c | 99.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked USA | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked USA | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Costa Rica | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed USA | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked USA | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked USA | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Costa Rica | 24c | 62.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed USA | 79c | 62.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Costa Rica | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Costa Rica | 53c | 58.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed USA | 48c | 51.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed USA | 80c | 42.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed USA | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf82…c406backed Costa Rica | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Costa Rica | 26c | 38.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…e37cbacked USA | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…5b89backed USA | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…f11fbacked USA | 76c | 33.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Costa Rica | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…4280backed USA | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed USA | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked USA | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…9ebebacked USA | 76c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed USA | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.