Middle East · resolved market
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78fad93c8b41a222b40dbc440d492a97b52df0e0577ae9a3dfcec99705ca147a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 78c | 12,140$9,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.64 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed Yes | 17c | 10,108$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.27 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 7c | 9,039$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.09 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…a909backed Yes | 11c | 7,705$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…797cbacked No | 50c | 7,005$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde85…c115backed Yes | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Yes | 19c | 4,963$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.03 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…7e94backed Yes | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…a047backed No | 69c | 4,500$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,902$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.03 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 79c | 3,602$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.83 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 63c | 3,543$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.88 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 28c | 3,472$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.73 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 76c | 3,362$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.01 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 24c | 3,193$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.16 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 0c | 2,879$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…c522backed Yes | 31c | 2,720$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,670$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1a…6c60backed Yes | 5c | 2,339$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 48c | 2,322$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.83 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 54c | 2,192$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.36 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 36c | 2,129$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.78 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,951$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…6e67backed Yes | 53c | 1,912$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 1,869$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.19 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 14c | 1,771$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 69c | 1,652$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.06 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,623$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…7acabacked Yes | 30c | 1,582$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 14c | 1,410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 14c | 1,359$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,334$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 75c | 1,331$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.46 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 1,200$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 77c | 1,195$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16ee…da09backed Yes | 12c | 1,155$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…1769backed Yes | 30c | 1,122$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 17c | 1,086$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b23…5e5ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,055$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 15c | 1,007$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 75c | 995.73$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.37 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…79f3backed Yes | 20c | 995.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +670.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b55…1e67backed Yes | 19c | 987.59$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 16c | 962.82$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…5e8fbacked Yes | 33c | 938.33$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.41 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…5a02backed Yes | 31c | 928.51$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Yes | 23c | 925$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 919.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 78c | 906.86$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.26 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 11c | 871.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…5292backed Yes | 30c | 844.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 27c | 840.46$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.98 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 39c | 780.6$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…151fbacked Yes | 24c | 775$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…9353backed No | 74c | 772.2$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…ff18backed Yes | 13c | 765.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d41…2dfabacked Yes | 17c | 765.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 11c | 761.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed No | 62c | 760.86$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 43c | 758.86$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.01 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked No | 63c | 753.82$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9e…1606backed Yes | 14c | 728.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e27…acccbacked Yes | 8c | 698.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…c403backed No | 74c | 682.01$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 31c | 664.82$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 657.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e7…3ba9backed Yes | 34c | 610.72$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed Yes | 51c | 602.97$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…3fb1backed No | 62c | 600$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…282ebacked Yes | 8c | 597.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…0ae4backed Yes | 35c | 584.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed No | 72c | 574.96$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…2d55backed No | 76c | 569.44$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 71c | 545.45$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed No | 57c | 530.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 7c | 526.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 118 | 16.1%19 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa7…c4cfbacked No | 57c | 523.57$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked No | 63c | 501.65$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.65 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 55c | 488$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…d959backed Yes | 11c | 479$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 78c | 464.76$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 454.4$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…dbc2backed Yes | 22c | 451.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…8eeebacked Yes | 50c | 437.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…e5dcbacked Yes | 18c | 430.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes | 13c | 429.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 58c | 428.95$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…5382backed No | 58c | 424.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 21c | 418.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 70c | 400$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -11.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…c1b0backed No | 62c | 400$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…d7b4backed Yes | 20c | 399.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 10c | 399.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 14c | 396.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 15c | 389.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed No | 77c | 364.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 69c | 358.07$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +9.1wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.