Serie A · resolved market
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf25b3a43d717e2b6cc164231359867d845b36be4263458d75155744f649d5bfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,085,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,109,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,085,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 25c | 312,428$77,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,706.89 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 25c | 160,681$40,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,973.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 76c | 135,934$102,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,983.67 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 105,083$79,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,192.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 75c | 104,798$78,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,846.48 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 54c | 70,970$38,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,533.27 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 24c | 56,730$13,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,573.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 75c | 48,579$36,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,144.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 32c | 41,819$13,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,365.18 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 75c | 32,482$24,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,120.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 26c | 25,940$6,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.44 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 75c | 19,887$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 25c | 17,500$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 75c | 13,195$9,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.74 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 78c | 9,877$7,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.86 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 49c | 9,438$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.57 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 26c | 8,216$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.09 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 7,919$6,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.08 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 74c | 7,338$5,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.59 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 76c | 6,670$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 25c | 6,648$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 78c | 6,410$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.26 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 78c | 6,268$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.94 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 26c | 6,134$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.28 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 73c | 4,720$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.43 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Yes | 75c | 4,125$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 75c | 4,012$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 75c | 4,011$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.59 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 26c | 3,915$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 77c | 3,831$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 44c | 3,419$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.95 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yes | 75c | 3,200$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 26c | 3,199$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.25 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Yes | 74c | 3,061$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 75c | 3,041$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Yes | 52c | 2,869$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 75c | 2,700$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 76c | 2,620$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.55 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 25c | 2,550$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 77c | 2,293$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 74c | 2,205$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.3 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 75c | 2,084$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 26c | 1,990$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c56cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,892$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 51c | 1,716$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.1 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f68…f736backed Yes | 75c | 1,700$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed No | 26c | 1,688$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed No | 12c | 1,636$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,610$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Yes | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 75c | 1,594$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…ddc3backed No | 26c | 1,550$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81df…d751backed Yes | 75c | 1,508$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 26c | 1,465$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 31c | 1,449$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e9…95dabacked Yes | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 75c | 1,368$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…d2cfbacked Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,332$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 77c | 1,321$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.05 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 77c | 1,307$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.48 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,275$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 24c | 1,211$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,181$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 76c | 1,118$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 24c | 1,111$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.63 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed No | 26c | 1,043$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 27c | 1,023$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.36 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2441…a2f5backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 74c | 900$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…ed67backed Yes | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 76c | 878.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 49c | 874.49$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 75c | 817.98$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 26c | 799.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 70c | 774.1$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.37 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f67…03fcbacked No | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?this page
- Will Napoli vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-09-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.