TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,663,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,692,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,663,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 812 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Kings40c377,494$151,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,743.7667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Kings41c327,982$134,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,472.47862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x128d…449cbacked Avalanche60c296,356$177,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,542.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Avalanche59c217,600$129,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,2407545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche59c200,000$118,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,999.922443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Kings40c192,783$77,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,113.2316442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche78c114,668$89,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,833.561,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf928…8016backed Avalanche59c76,618$45,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,413.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kings22c75,259$16,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,584.1737754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Avalanche59c73,200$43,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,01248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Kings21c51,861$10,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,890.7819848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Avalanche78c29,042$22,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,498.6413841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings21c25,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.9912950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche59c23,510$13,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,554.173164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Kings41c22,924$9,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,398.9528447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kings38c22,021$8,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,426.8858841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Avalanche78c21,649$16,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,657.9640356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Avalanche59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.9256649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Kings41c16,992$6,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,966.641942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kings40c15,907$6,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,380.8351045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Kings40c15,590$6,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,169.8212328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Avalanche58c15,014$8,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,305.9626849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings0c14,623$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6218520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche77c11,381$8,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.1840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Kings23c10,105$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.447244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8504…88dcbacked Avalanche59c9,960$5,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,107.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings41c9,820$4,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,026.128657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Kings18c9,790$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.8615448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Kings25c8,499$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.2830259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Kings23c8,491$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.878345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche71c8,404$5,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.3789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Kings25c8,240$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.9432151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kings0c8,080$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche61c7,472$4,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.3427044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Avalanche59c7,322$4,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.594568.9%31 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Kings41c7,058$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.88946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.911,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings21c5,953$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.051,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche79c5,724$4,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.1375251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Kings26c5,164$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Kings41c4,910$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.0518853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche70c4,780$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.541,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Kings20c4,671$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.274443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche59c4,617$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Avalanche73c4,543$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.283158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Avalanche70c4,136$2,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.832458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kings7c3,990$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.5314946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9c7…5d22backed Kings7c3,705$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.38445.2%38 W · 46 L+14.8wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Kings20c3,328$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.1910746.7%50 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Avalanche60c3,253$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.334151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Avalanche60c3,000$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kings41c2,894$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.4613333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Kings31c2,763$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.9812152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5870…276ebacked Kings0c2,694$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.17862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche67c2,654$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.483,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche60c2,593$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.721,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Kings22c2,582$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Avalanche60c2,529$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.4183652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Avalanche59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche60c2,474$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.7589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Kings41c2,465$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.891050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Kings42c2,319$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.11560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Avalanche59c2,278$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.3861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Avalanche59c2,222$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.022948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Kings41c2,204$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.1333450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings3c2,200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Avalanche78c2,165$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0116766.5%111 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche69c2,103$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.432,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Avalanche59c2,100$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85262346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Avalanche59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Avalanche59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9820450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Kings40c1,995$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.1911243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Kings32c1,969$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.1211251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings25c1,954$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.4825552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Avalanche61c1,873$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.525541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Kings41c1,754$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.239260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings1c1,732$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.141016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Avalanche60c1,479$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.465662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Avalanche60c1,464$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Kings34c1,414$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.626550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Avalanche58c1,347$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.9352050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Avalanche66c1,267$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.81233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Avalanche60c1,204$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.4939649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kings24c1,182$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1642948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Avalanche78c1,180$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.59560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Kings41c1,176$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.36750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Kings28c1,150$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.5127037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche60c1,117$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.6225555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Avalanche74c1,104$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.277363%46 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Avalanche75c1,100$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27526154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Kings40c1,100$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.7433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Avalanche61c1,074$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.965947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Kings41c1,071$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.2611047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Kings6c1,065$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0531744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings40c1,062$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Kings28c1,025$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0429319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1af0…6dd7backed Kings40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x149f…d306backed Avalanche59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4105646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Avalanche60c996.41$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.576448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Kings19c995.94$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2329533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.