TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Over53c28,117$14,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,215.1719848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c24,709$11,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,61310545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under48c16,564$7,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,950.652334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over51c15,904$8,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,864.7551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c11,699$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,749.7513841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over46c10,308$4,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,604.464850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c9,856$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.8741842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c4,275$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.420756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under49c3,296$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.0216843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Under64c2,868$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c2,636$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.42,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c2,530$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under59c2,265$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.12236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Over44c2,196$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.9612552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over51c2,157$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.7786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,154$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.6876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over36c2,146$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.484951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,094$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.781,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c5…7e4fbacked Under2c1,925$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2430…4527backed Under49c1,859$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under47c1,595$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.6552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c1,494$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.9433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under49c1,492$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.0833652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under49c1,454$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.5115431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over52c1,360$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c1,249$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.533,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under60c1,141$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.019562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over40c1,032$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.413437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over37c1,019$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.9617247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under52c946.92$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under65c938.86$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick76cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2547256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Under64c910.69$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.22450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Over42c902.8$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.114443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over44c695.92$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.371,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over38c677.13$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.825855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c674.91$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.632,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c649$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5231848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under62c602.93$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.821,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c566.12$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.911,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under63c561.67$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c525.18$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.5489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under49c508.84$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8731148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Over44c498.81$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.336448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Over22c482.74$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.543228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under58c482.59$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6241050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over50c445.1$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3450251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Over44c392.2$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.633943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…3badbacked Under77c386.19$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.791258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c384.96$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.431,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under50c384.1$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0522946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Under64c382.19$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under59c331.97$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.971,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under50c323.94$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9710846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under15c314.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3824946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Under62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x214a…408abacked Over53c276.94$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c271.94$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8938147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c268.54$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2714551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over36c267.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.953342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Under56c259.5$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.073240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under54c253.33$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over41c247.15$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.114045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Under61c244.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.93560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under50c227.35$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under34c209.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5634547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under49c206.21$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6511435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under52c195.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.535358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over36c192.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0856553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over49c191.94$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.899757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under48c185.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.032142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under59c156.36$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0228340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Under50c153.94$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.654761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over50c153.65$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.825455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under57c150.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.987047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32a…efabbacked Under61c142.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.032450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under27c135.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over51c130.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7121355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over47c118.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9718046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…69a1backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under46c93.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5610444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a8…b182backed Under64c92.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.833844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over57c88.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under56c73.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2520855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under41c72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.451343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over30c70.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3419033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over45c65.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.838469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over33c59.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9738551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Under50c58.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over50c57.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.874459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under66c56.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over45c56.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8412357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Over52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8916945%76 W · 93 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Over44c54.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.753948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over45c53.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2814855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under53c50.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0310260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Over49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.223043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2518941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over53c47.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.448845.5%40 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.